2015 National League Central Preview

***The Division Preview that follows is not betting advice in any way shape or form.  Please do not bet any money based in any part on these predictions.***

Don't forget to check out the National League East Preview and check back next week for the National League West Preview

Cardinals Logo Courtesy of Sports Logs.net

St. Louis Cardinals

Who's New:  

CATCHERS/INFIELDERS

Dean Anna, IF (Free Agent from Pirates)
Mark Reynolds, 1B (Free Agent from Brewers)

OUTFIELDERS

Jason Heyward, OF (Trade from Braves)

STARTING PITCHERS
Carlos Villanueva, P (Free Agent from Cubs)

RELIEF PITCHERS
Miguel Socolovich, RP (Free Agent from Mets)
Matt Belisle, RP (Free Agent from Rockies)

Who Left?: 

CATCHERS/INFIELDERS

Audry Perez, C (Free Agent to Rockies)
Daniel Descalso, 2B (Free Agent to Rockies)
A.J. Pierszynski, C (Free Agent to Braves)
Mark Ellis, 2B (Unsigned Free Agent)
OUTFIELDERS
Shane Robinson, OF (Free Agent to Twins)
Jermaine Curtis, OF (Free Agent to Reds)
STARTING PITCHERS
Jorge Rondon, P (Waiver Claim by Rockies)
Justin Masterson, P (Free Agent to Red Sox)
RELIEF PITCHERS
Eric Fonataro, RP (Free Agent to Nationals)
Pat Neshek, RP (Free Agent to Astros)
Jason Motte, RP (Free Agent to Cubs)
David Aardsma, RP (Free Agent to Dodgers)
Winter Headlines:  
Despite several key losses, Cardinals remain clear favorite in Central.
What to Expect?:
The Cardinals organization seems to have this game figured out.  Their minor league system continues to produce key players and they make smart trades and signings.  They don't always have big names but they know how to build a team that gets the most out of their pieces.
Why Should You Root for These Guys?:
This Cardinals run of success is something special.  This run started in 2000 when the Cardinals finished 1st.  Since then the team has only missed the playoffs three times.  Four times they have reached the NLCS only to come up short. Twice they have reached the World Series and lost and twice they have won it all.  For an organization boasting a history with Frankie Frisch, Rogers Hornsby, Dizzy Dean, Stan Musial, Enos Slaughter, Johnny Mize, Bob Gibson, Lou Brock and Ozzie Smith (among a million others) it is amazing to say that this may be one of the best times of their history.
Why Might This Season Not Turn Out the Way Cardinals Fans Want?:
The Cardinals are clearly the favorite in this division but pitching depth, something they have used to their advantage in other years, may be a bit thin this year.  Wainwright is spectacular every year and Lance Lynn has started his career strong but there is a significant drop off after the top 2.  John Lackey's age should be a cause for concern and the rest of the rotation is unproven.  It would seem they have some questions about the rotation and pitching depth themselves based on the fact that they traded for Lackey and Masterson at the trade deadline last year.
Don't Expect Too Much From Him:
John Lackey has had a very good career but age and injuries have caught up to him.  Although he was 11-7 with Boston when he was traded to St.Louis his ERA was high and he only went 3-3 in St. Louis.  Lackey is still a strong pitcher but his best days are behind him.
Expect Great Things From:
Jason Heyward is one of the most talented and hard working players in the game, although his last few years in Atlanta were not up to his normal production levels.  Part of that can be traced to a horrific at bat in 2013 where he was hit in the face with a pitch that shattered both sides of his jaw but that does not account for all of the problems.  A new start in St.Louis will be just what he needs.  Expect Heyward to regain his All Star form.
Is This His Last Chance?:
Peter Bourjos had huge potential and huge expectations when he came to the majors in Anaheim.  An outfield of Bourjos-Trout-Hunter was supposed to be a winning combination for the Angels but a lack of production led to Bourjos being sent to St.Louis in exchange for David Freese.  Bourjos has now fallen to a bench role.
Prediction: 1st in NL Central

Pirates Logo Courtesy of Sports Logos.net

Pittsburgh Pirates:

Who's New: 

CATCHERS/INFIELDERS

Francisco Cervelli, C (Trade from Yankees)
Jake Elmore, SS (Free Agent from Reds)
Steve Lombardozzi, 2B (Trade from Orioles)

OUTFIELDERS

Corey Hart, OF (Free Agent from Mariners)
STARTING PITCHERS
A.J. Burnett, SP (Free Agent from Phillies)
Clayton Richard, SP (Free Agent from Diamondbacks)
Chris Volstad, SP (Free Agent from Angels)
Charlie Leesman, SP (Free Agent from White Sox)
RELIEF PITCHERS
Brad Lincoln, RP (Free Agent from Phillies)
Blake Wood, RP (Free Agent from Royals)
Rob Scahill, RP (Trade from Rockies)
Josh Stinson, RP (Free Agent from Orioles)
Josh Lindbaum, RP (Waiver Claim from Athletics)
Antonio Bastardo, RP (Trade from Phillies)
Radhames Liz, RP (Free Agent from Blue Jays)
Arquimedes Caminaro, RP (Free Agent from Marlins)

Who Left:

CATCHERS/INFIELDERS

Russell Martin, C (Free Agent to Blue Jays)
Chase D'Arnaud, SS (Free Agent to Phillies)
Dean Anna, IF (Free Agent to Cardinals)
Ike Davis, IF (Trade to Athletics)
Clint Barmes, IF (Free Agent to Padres)
Thomas Field, IF (Free Agent to Rangers)
Chris McGuiness, 1B (Free Agent to Phillies)
Omir Santos, C (Free Agent to Nationals)
Michael Martinez, IF (Free Agent to Indians)
Jake Elmore, 1B (Free agent to Rays)
Gaby Sanchez, 1B (Unsigned Free Agent)

OUTFIELDERS

None
STARTING PITCHERS
Edinson Volquez, SP (Free Agent to Royals)
Adam Wilk, SP (Free Agent from Angels)
Wandy Rodriguez, SP (Free Agent to Braves)
RELIEF PITCHERS
Justin Wilson, RP (Trade to Yankees)
Ernesto Frieri, RP (Free Agent to Rays)
Chaz Roe, RP (Free Agent to Orioles)
Preston Guillemet, P (Free Agent to Blue Jays)
Jeanmar Gomez, RP (Free Agent to Phillies)
John Axford, RP (Free Agent to Rockies)
Vin Mazaro, RP (Free Agent to   Marlins)
Rafael Perez, RP (Free Agent to Mariners)
Winter Headlines: 
Who's the ace?
What to Expect?:
Pirates fans have been happy with the team's improvement over the last 5 years, however, the team may take a big step back this season.  There is no clear ace on the team and the loss of Russell Martin to lead the staff could cause a big drop off in a very competitive division.
Why Should You Root for These Guys?:
The Pirates have built this team fom the ground up.  The key pieces of this team have all come through the minor league system.  In an offseason where we have seen Atlanta and Oakland dismantle competitive teams and scatter their pieces all over the league it would be nice to see a team that has grown together, win together.
Why Might This Season Not Turn Out the Way Pirates Fans Want?:
Pitching.  The Pirates starting rotation is a big question for this team.  They somehow got by last year with Edinson Volquez and Gerrit Cole but Volquez is gone and Cole is probably not a true ace, at least not yet.  They resigned Burnett but the magic Burnett carried with him a few years ago seems to be gone.
Don't Expect Too Much From Him:
Francisco Cervelli is a decent Catcher.  He is not an All Star and he is not Russell Martin.  Martin had a way of controlling the game behind the plate and getting the pitchers to follow his lead.  Cervelli does not have that reputation.
Expect Great Things From:
Andrew McCutcheon is one of the best players in this league.  If you are trying to show a non fan why this game is so great show them McCutcheon.  He is a special player and watching him play with passion is a great experience.
Is This His Last Chance?:
A.J. Burnett has come back for a second tour of the Steel City.  In his first trip through the city he was the ace of the staff and led the team to their first playoff appearance since 1992.  At 8-18 with an ERA of 4.59 with the Phillies last year, Burnett will need some magic to help the Pirates back to the post season.
Prediction: 2nd in NL Central

Chicago Cubs Logo Courtesy of Sports Logos.net

Chicago Cubs

Who's New: 

CATCHERS/INFIELDERS

Tom LaStella, IF (Trade from Braves)
Jonathan Herrera, IF (Free Agent from Red Sox)
Miguel Montero, C (Trade from Diamondbacks)
David Ross, C (Free Agent from Red Sox)
Taylor Teagarden, C (Free Agent from Mets)
OUTFIELDERS
Adron Chambers, OF (Free Agent from Blue Jays)
Chris Denorfia, OF (Free Agent from Mariners)
Mike Baxter, OF (Free Agent from Dodgers)
Dexter Fowler,OF (Trade from Astros)
STARTING PITCHERS
Jason Hammel, SP (Free Agent from Athletics)
John Lester, SP (Free Agent from Athletics)
RELIEF PITCHERS
Donn Roach, RP (Waiver Claim from Padres)
Jason Motte, RP (Free Agent from Cardinals)
Mike Kickham, RP (Waiver Claim from Giants)
Francisley Bueno, RP (Free Agent from Royals)
Jorge DeLeon, RP (Free Agent from Athletics)
German Gonzalez, RP (Waiver Claim from Rangers)

Who Left: 

CATCHERS/INFIELDERS

 Eli Whiteside, C (Free Agent to Braves)
Luis Valbuena, 3B (Trade to Astros)
John Baker, C (Free Agent to Mariners)
Lars Anderson, 1B (Free Agent to Dodgers)
Josh Vitters, IF (Free Agent to Rockies)
OUTFIELDERS
Justin Ruggiano, OF (Trade to Mariners)
Ryan Kalish, OF (Free Agent to Blue Jays)
STARTING PITCHERS
None
RELIEF PITCHERS
Arodys Vizcaino, RP (Traded to Braves)
Kyuji Fujikawa, RP (Free Agent to Rangers)
Wesley Wright, RP (Free Agent to Orioles)
Alberto Cabrera, RP (Free Agent to Tigers)
Dan Straily, RP (Trade to Astros)
Carlos Villanueva, RP (Free Agent to Cardinals)
Marcos Mateo, RP (Free Agent to Padres)
Winter Headlines:
The ripening products of the Farm System.
What to Expect?:
Cubs fans should be excited.  Theo Epstein has this team moving in the right direction and they should be right in the thick of this competitive division.  The Farm System is producing high expectations and the arrival of Joe Maddon from the Rays has led to big excitement in the Windy City.
Why Should You Root for These Guys?:
For the obvious reason.  It has been over 100 years since the team won a World Series.
Why Might This Season Not Turn Out the Way Cubs Fans Want?:
That all depends on your expectations.  If you are expecting an immediate World Series with the arrival of Dexter Fowler, John Lester and Maddon you will be disappointed.  If you are expecting an improved, competitive team laying the ground work for a climb to the post season then you should be satisfied.
Don't Expect Too Much From Him:
John Lester is a very good pitcher and was one of the top free agents in a very good class of free agent pitchers.  You can expect him to be the ace of this staff and to eat a lot of innings but don't expect a Cy Young from him just yet.
Expect Great Things From:
Joe Maddon is a terrific manager and his style is made for a situation like the Cubs.  In Tampa he was able to work with a small budget and develop great talent.  When that talent hit free agency he was able to find great replacements and continue his winning ways.  For a young team like the Cubs it could be a match made in heaven.
Is This His Last Chance?:
This team is too stocked with young talent to be considered anyone's last chance.  The young kids on this team added with Maddon's winning attitude could make this team fun to watch.
Prediction: 3rd place in NL Central

Cincinnati Reds Logo Courtesy of Sports Logos,net

Cincinnati Reds:

Who's New: 

CATCHERS/INFIELDERS

Josh Satin, 1B (Free Agent from Mets)
Ivan de Jesus, IF (Free Agent from Red Sox)
Kyle Skipworth, C (Free Agent from Marlins)
Irving Falu, IF (Free Agent from Brewers)
Eugenio Suarez, SS (Trade from Reds)

OUTFIELDERS

Brennan Boesch, OF (Free Agent from Angels)
Marlon Byrd, OF (Trade from Phillies)
Jermaine Curtis, OF (Free Agent from Cardinals)
Chris Dominguez, OF (Free Agent from Giants)
STARTING PITCHERS
Anthony DeScalfani, SP (Trade from Marlins)
Paul Maholm, SP (Free Agent from Dodgers)
Donovan Hand, SP (Free Agent from Brewers)
RELIEF PITCHERS
Jose Cisneros, RP (Free Agent from Astros)
Nate Adcock, RP (Free Agent fom Rangers)
Wilmer Font, RP (Free Agent from Rangers)
Jose De La Torre, RP (Free Agent from Brewers)
Burke Badenhop, RP (Free Agent from Red Sox)
Kevin Gregg, RP (Free agent from Marlins)

Who Left: 

CATCHERS/INFIELDERS

Jake Elmore, IF (Free Agent to Pirates)
Ramon Santiago, IF (Free Agent to Blue Jays)
Jack Hanahan, IF (Unsigned Free Agent)
OUTFIELDERS
Chris Heisey, OF (Trade to Dodgers)
Ryan Ludwick, OF (Free Agent to Rangers)
STARTING PITCHERS
Brett Marshall (Free Agent to Rockies)
Mat Latos, SP (Trade to Marlins)
Alfredo Simon, SP (Trade to Tigers)
Carlos Marmol, SP (Unsigned Free Agent)
RELIEF PITCHERS
Curtis Partch, RP (Free Agent to Giants)
Logan Ondrusek, RP (Free Agent to Japan)
Ryan Rowland Smith (Unsigned Free Agent)
Trevor Bell, RP (Unsigned Free Agent)
Winter Headlines: 
With age and injuries, questions arise about how long the window will stay open.
What to Expect?:
It is a loaded question and it depends on a few things.  First, how healthy are Phillips, Votto and Cueto?  If they can stay healthy this team can be a serious force in the National League and could challenge for first in a very close division.  If they have the same issues they have suffered through the last two years the team may struggle.  Second, how good is Marlon Byrd?  We know he can be good because we saw it after the trade deadline in Pittsburgh a few years ago.  We also know he can be just average as we saw with the Mets and Phillies.  Finally, how important was Mat Latos?  Not having the 1-2 punch of Cueto-Latos could be a big problem.  Homer Bailey is a very good number 2 starter but he missed the las few weeks of last season and culd miss part of the firs month.  After Cueto-Bailey there is a significant drop off in quality.
Why Should You Root for These Guys?:
In 2012 this team was one game away from advancing to the National League Championship Series.  That year they had overcome some inuries and a late season stroke suffered by Dusty Baker to finish the season with the best record in baseball.  They followed that up with a loss to Pittsburgh in the Wild Card round and replaced Baker.  This group of Cueto-Phillips-Votto-Bruce have worked hard to help give this franchise a rebirth.  It would be nice to see this group hoist a trophy together.
Why Might This Season Not Turn Out the Way Reds Fans Want?:
We already talked about the question of the health and loss of Latos but more than that, the other teams in this division are strong and the Cubs have improved.  With 5 teams about equally matched someone has to finish last and it seems as though the Cubs are determined not to be the doormat anymore.
Don't Expect Too Much From Him:
Joey Votto had his worst season as a professional in 2014.  Injuries cut his playing time to just 62 games and his average dropped to .255.  As the injuries start to catch up to him Votto will need to display his leadership and build his clubhouse presence but his numbers on the field may fall a bit.
Expect Great Things From:
At 20-9 and 2.25 Johnny Cueto had his best year as a pro and if it were not for a historic year from Clayton Kershaw he would have won the Cy Young.  Cueto is the clear ace of this staff and any success the Reds hope for will start with Cueto.
Prediction:4th in NL Central

Milwaukee Brewers Logo Courtesy of Sports Logos.net

Milwaukee Brewers

Who's New: 

CATCHERS/INFIELDERS

Adam Lind, 1B (Trade from Blue Jays)
Luis Sardinas, IF (Trade from Rangers)
OUTFIELDERS
Bryan Peterson, OF (Free Agent from Rangers)
STARTING PITCHERS

RELIEF PITCHERS
John Ely, RP (Free Agent from Red Sox)
Neal Cotts, RP (Free Agent from Rangers)
Chris LeRoux, RP (Free Agent from Yankees)
Chris Perez, RP (Free Agent from Dodgers)
Corey Knebel, RP (Trade from Rangers
Josh Roenicke, RP (Free Agent from Rockies)
David Herndon, RP (Free Agent from Phillies)

Who Left:  

CATCHERS/INFIELDERS

Matt Pagnozzi, C (Free Agent to Diamondbacks)
Irving Falu, IF (Free Agent to Reds)
Mark Reynolds, 1B (Free Agent to Cardinals)
Eugenio Velez, IF (Free Agent to Rays)
Jeff Bianchi, IF (Free Agent to Red Sox)
Rickie Weeks, IF (Free Agent to Mariners)
Lyle Overbay, 1B (Unassigned Free Agent)

OUTFIELDERS

Caleb Gindl, OF (Free Agent to Blue Jays)

STARTING PITCHERS

Zach Duke, SP (Free Agent to White Sox)
Marco Estrada, SP (Trade to Blue Jays)
Tom Gorzelanny, SP (Free Agent to Tigers)
Donovan Hand, SP (Free Agent to Reds)
Yovanny Gallardo, SP (Trade to Rangers)
Billy Buckner, SP (Unsigned Free Agent)

RELIEF PITCHERS

Jose De la Torres, RP (Free Agent to Reds)
Francisco Rodriguez, RP (Unsigned Free Agent)
Winter Headlines: 
In the fight or time to rebuild?
What to Expect?:
With this division being as competitive as ever it is hard to say where the Brewers will finish.  Last year they appeared to be on the decline heading into the Spring but amazing years by Segura, Gomez and Lucroy kept them in the race until the end of the year.  With improvement by the Cubs but fall off from the Reds and Pirates the Brewers could still stay in the fight.  In reality though, the lack of pitching depth, especially in the bullpen, will likely lead to a last place finish.
Why Should You Root for These Guys?:
The general perception of the organization (to non-fans and non-students of the game) is that of a losing organization.  In reality this is a proud organization with Hall of Famers, MVP's and a usually competitive history.  For a die-hard fan base it would be nice to see Milwaukee get the respect it deserves.
Why Might This Season Not Turn Out the Way Brewers Fans Want?:
This division is very close from top to bottom and the Cubs are no longer the door mat of the league.  The Brewers still have Garza and Lohse at the top of the rotation but they lost Gallardo and Estrada in the offseason.  The bullpen is shaky and Lucroy suffered a serious injury that will keep him out for some time.
Don't Expect Too Much From Him:
Matt Garza has been a big name in baseball since he emerged with the Rays in their playoff years.  He was a big name in a trade to the Cubs.  That was followed by a big hype over a trade to the Rangers in 2012. He then became a big name free agent in 2014.  The results since he had his big year in 2010 have not been great.  In fact, despite his reputation as a top level ace, Garza is only 75-75 over his career.  That included 4-5 in his stint with the Rangers and 8-8 in his year with the Brewers.  Garza is of course a very good pitcher and will help the Brewers in any chance they have at the post season but he is not an ace.
Expect Great Things From:
Jean Segura came to the Brewers in the Zack Grienke trade with the Angels a few years ago and it was a steal for the Brewers.  Jean Segura is one of the best hitting short stops in the NL and is superb defensively.  Expect an All Star year from him.
Is This His Last Chance?:
Johnathon Broxton was a dominant closer for the Dodgers in their 2008-2009 runs to the playoffs but a series changing double to Jimmy Rollins in 2009 and a complete collapse in 2010 led to his departure from Los Angeles.  He has bounced around the league with varying levels of success.  The Brewers are asking him to regain his 2008 form but it may be too late.
Prediction:5th in NL Central

*-Please be aware that these predictions are based on the rosters as set in the middle of February.  There are still several key free agents unsigned which could alter these previews.  Also, injuries during spring training could alter my outlook.  Check back next week for the NL West Preview and continue following to see my final predictions at the start of the season.

TRIVIA QUESTION:

Adam Wainwright led the National League in wins in both 2013 and 2009.  Before Wainwright, when was the last time a National League Central Pitcher led the league in wins?

Answer to Last Week's Question:

Since the league moved to the three division format, a National league East player has led the league in Home Runs four times (including Stanton in 2014.  The first to do so was Jim Thome (47) with Philadelphia in 2003.  Not until Ryan Howard (58) in 2006 did anyone else from the east lead the league.  Howard did it again in 2008 with 48. Between 2008 and 2014 no one from the East led the league in Home Runs.

2014 National League Central Preview

***The Division Preview that follows is not betting advice in any way shape or form.  Please do not bet any money based in any part on these predictions.***

Don't forget to check out the American League East, American League Central, and American League West  and National League East Previews and check back next week for the National League West Preview

Cincinnati Reds Logo Courtesy of Sports Logos,net

Cincinnati Reds:

Who's New: 

CATCHERS/INFIELDERS

Brayan Pena (C) free agent from Tigers,

Skip Schumacher (IF) free agent from Dodgers,
Bryan Anderson (C) free agent from White Sox
Chris Nelson (3B) free agent from Angels
Ramon Santiago (IF) free agent from Tigers

OUTFIELDERS

Jason Bourgeois (OF) free agent from Rays,
Neil Thomas (OF) free agent from Cubs
Roger Berardina (OF) free agent from Phillies
STARTING PITCHERS
David Holmberg (SP) trade from Diamondbacks,
Chien Ming Wang (SP) free agent from Blue Jays
Jeff Francis (SP) free agent from Rockies
RELIEF PITCHERS

Who Left: 

CATCHERS/INFIELDERS

Ryan Hannigan (C) trade to Rays,
Cesar Izturis (SS) free agent to Astros
OUTFIELDERS
Shin Soo Choo (OF) to Rangers,
Xavier Paul (OF) free agent to Orioles
Derrick Robinson (OF) unsinged free agent
STARTING PITCHERS
Greg Reynolds (SP) free agent to Japan
Bronson Arroyo (SP) free agent to Diamondbacks
RELIEF PITCHERS
Zach Duke (RP) free agent to Brewers
Nick Masset (RP) free agent to Rockies
Winter Headlines: 
Dusty hits the road but is Price right?
What to Expect?:
Nothing against Brian Price but he's no Dusty Baker, at least not yet.  After a first round exit this year the Reds decided it was time to move on without Dusty. It may end up being one of the worst decisions this leadership group has ever made. That being said, the core group of Votto, Phillips, Bruce and Frazier are still there and the rotation looks solid with Cueto, Latos, Bailey and Leake meaning the Reds are still probably the most talented team in this division.
Why Should You Root for These Guys?:
Last year I predicted the Reds would win it all.  Things started off badly from the beginning.  They lost their clean up hitter on opening day.  Their ace went down and missed most of the year.  Their second ace pitched fantastically but somehow couldn't win.  The Reds deserve some good luck for once.
Why Might This Season Not Turn Out the Way Reds Fans Want?:
The Reds lost their lead off hitter Choo to free agency and have done nothing to replace him.  Theoretically Billy Hamilton will be the lead off hitter but there are questions of his ability to play at the Major League level.  Add to that the change of manager and things in Cincinnati are still questionable.
Don't Expect Too Much From Him:
Billy Hamilton set a record for stolen bases in the minor leagues a few years ago.  The question is how will he do at the next level.  He did not have much chance to show his talent last year but with Choo gone Hamilton will get his chance to show what he can do.
Expect Great Things From:
Brandon Phillips has developed into one of the best players in the league but for some reason his name came up in trade rumors over the off season.  In 2012 when Joey Votto went out for an extended period it was Phillips that stepped up.  When the team started slowly in 2013 Phillips got the team back on track.  Expect Phillips to do what he always does: perform at a high level.
Prediction:1st in NL Central

Cardinals Logo Courtesy of Sports Logs.net

St. Louis Cardinals

Who's New:  

CATCHERS/INFIELDERS

Jhonny Peralta (SS) free agent from Tigers,

Mark Ellis (2B) free agent from Dodgers,

OUTFIELDERS

Peter Bourjos (OF) trade from Angels, 

STARTING PITCHERS

RELIEF PITCHERS
Pat Nesheck (RP) free agent from Athletics

Who Left?: 

CATCHERS/INFIELDERS

David Freese (3b) trade to Angels,
Brock Peterson (1B) free agent to Nationals
Ty Wigginton (IF) free agent to Marlins
Rob Johnson (C) free agent to Padres
OUTFIELDERS
Carlos Betran (OF) free agent to Yankees,
Adron Chambers (OF) free agent to Astros
STARTING PITCHERS
Jake Westbrook (SP) unsigned free agent
RELIEF PITCHERS
Fernando Salas (RP) trade to Angels,
Edward Mujica (RP) free agent to Red Sox,
John Axford (RP) free agent to Indians, Brock Peterson (1B) free agent to Nationals
Winter Headlines:  
Beltran and Freese gone.  Will the pitching hold up?
What to Expect?:
For the last few years Cardinals fans have dealt with the loss of major stars and expected the worst.  They have been pleasantly surprised with the results.  This year they lost Beltran, Freese and Mujica and done little to replace them.  Still, with the success that Mike Matheny has had in filling holes and the success of the organization overall it is hard to count this team out.
Why Should You Root for These Guys?:
The Cardinals organization has quietly built itself into the best organization in baseball.  Despite the loss of Pujols, Carpenter, Beltran and Freese, the Cardinals still seem to find ways to win.
Why Might This Season Not Turn Out the Way Cardinals Fans Want?:
The Cardinals continue to lose big names without replacing them.  They have been able to find players in a number of ways, mostly by listening to the smart baseball minds in the organization.  Even the best baseball minds make mistakes.  At what point will the baseball trust in St.Louis fail?
Don't Expect Too Much From Him:
Matt Holliday is generally considered a super star by many baseball experts but there are numerous holes in his game.  He is capable of great things but at times seems to have mental lapses that lead to mistakes at the worst possible time.  Expect Holliday to perform well but don't look for him to fill the holes left by the loss of Furcal, Beltran and Freese.
Expect Great Things From:
Yadier Molina is sometimes overlooked in the Cardinals current run.  In 2006 when the Cardinals won their first World Series since 1982, Molina hit the game winning Home Run to propel them to the World Series.  When they pushed to another title in 2011 Molina was the quiet leader.  Molina always seems to be at the center of the good things that happen in St. Louis.
Is This His Last Chance?:
Adam Wainwright missed all of the 2011 season as the Cardinals won the World Series.  He bounced back to a 14-13 season in 2012 and went 19-9 in 2013 while pitching well over 200 innings.  Wainwright is clearly a great pitcher but how many innings can an arm that missed an entire season just a few short years ago take?
Prediction: 2nd in NL East. Wild Card

Milwaukee Brewers Logo Courtesy of Sports Logos.net

Milwaukee Brewers

Who's New: 

CATCHERS/INFIELDERS

Irving Falu (IF) free agent from Royals,
Matt Pagnozzi (C) free agent from Astros,
Lyle Overbay (1B) free agent from Yankees
Mark Reynolds (3B) free agent from Yankees
OUTFIELDERS
STARTING PITCHERS
Matt Garza (SP) free agent from Rangers
Wil Smith (SP) trade from Royals,
RELIEF PITCHERS
Zach Duke (RP) free agent from Reds
Francisco Rodriguez (RP) free agent from Orioles

Who Left:  

CATCHERS/INFIELDERS

Blake Lali (1B) free agent to Diamondbacks,
Alex Gonzalez (IF) free agent to Orioles
Yuniesky Betancourt (IF) unsigned free agent

OUTFIELDERS

 Norichiki Aoka (OF) trade to Royals,

Corey Hart (OF) free agent to Mariners

STARTING PITCHERS

Chris Narveson (SP) free agent from Japan

Aaron Laffey (SP) free agent to Orioles

RELIEF PITCHERS

Burke Badenhop (RP) trade to Red Sox,
Michael Gonzales (RP) free agent to Nationals
Winter Headlines: Braun's return
What to Expect?:
The Brewers had a nice run over the last few years but 2013 was a struggle.  The team fell off severely as they dealt with the Ryan Braun situation.  They have now lost Corey Hart who was a big piece of the Brewers recent success.  They are in a strong division but for some reason I can't count them out of playoff contention just yet.  With players like Jean Segura, Carlos Gomez and Aramis Ramirez this team could be very dangerous.
Why Should You Root for These Guys?:
The Brewers team had some truly terrible years before this current run of success.  All they have to show for this recent history is two failed playoff appearances.  The Brewers are on the brink of heading for another dark period and it would be nice to see them have some more success before the decline.
Why Might This Season Not Turn Out the Way Brewers Fans Want?:
The Brewers have lost most of the key players of their playoff runs and the one remaining key piece is in disgrace.  If Braun fails and the pitching does not perform up to their potential it could take quite some time before the Brewers are able to compete again.
Don't Expect Too Much From Him:
Ryan Braun left the team last year in disgrace.  He will return for the full year this year and will be a great player again.  Just don't expect him to win an MVP.
Expect Great Things From:
Jean Segura was a great surprise for the Brewers last year in a season of turmoil.  He was near the top of the league in batting for most of the year and was the one bright spot for the team.  Expect Segura to continue to improve.
Is This His Last Chance?:
Matt Garza was a big contributor to the Rays playoff runs before moving on the Cubs.  With the Cubs he did not have the success they had hoped for and he was moved to the Rangers at the deadline last year.  All the Rangers got was a 4-5 record and a high ERA.  Garza, when healthy, has the potential to be an ace but continuing arm problems could sideline his career.
Prediction:3rd in NL Central

Pirates Logo Courtesy of Sports Logos.net

Pittsburgh Pirates:

Who's New: 

CATCHERS/INFIELDERS

Chris Stewart (C) trade from Yankees,

Travis Ishikawa (1B) free agent from White Sox, 

Michael Martinez (IF) free agent from Phillies, 

Travis McGuinness (1B) trade from Rangers
Omir Santos (C) free agent from Indians

OUTFIELDERS

 Jeff Decker (OF) trade from Padres,
STARTING PITCHERS
 Edinson Volquez (SP) free agent from Dodgers,
RELIEF PITCHERS
Cody Eppeley (RP) free agent from Twins,
Miles Mikolas (RP) trade from Padres,
Duke Welker (RP) trade from Twins,

Who Left:

CATCHERS/INFIELDERS

Garrett Jones (1B) free agent to Marlins,

 Justin Mourneau (1B) free agent to Rockies,

John Buck (C) free agent to Mariners

Michael McKenry (C) free agent to Rockies
Brandon Inge (IF) released

OUTFIELDERS

Marlon Byrd (OF) free agent to Phillies,
Felix Pie (OF) unsigned free agent
STARTING PITCHERS
Kris Johnson (SP) traded to Twins,
A.J. Burnett (SP) free agent to Phillies
James McDonald (SP) free agent to Cubs
RELIEF PITCHERS
Mike Mikolas (RP) trade to Rangers
Kyle Farnsworth (RP) free agent to Mets
Chris Leroux (RP) free agent to Yankees
Jeff Karstens (RP) unsigned free agent
Winter Headlines: 
Follow up to playoffs?
Hurdle MOY, McCutcheon MVP
What to Expect?:
The Pirates had a magical year in 2013 but fell short.  They return an MVP and a Manager of the Year but the pitching staff remains a question.  Fortunately for Pittsburgh the Reds and Cardinals appear to have gotten weaker as well but the Brewers have improved.  The Pirates will need some upgrades in pitching but they should still be able to compete.
Why Should You Root for These Guys?:
The Pirates are one of the small market teams that have suffered while other free spending teams have thrived.  The Pirates reached the playoffs for the first time in over two decades and are looking to prove it was not just a fluke.
Why Might This Season Not Turn Out the Way Pirates Fans Want?:
Last season was a magical season in Pittsburgh.  The problem is the pitching staff has taken a hit that it may not be able to recover from.  Losing A.J.Burnett, the leader of the staff, and replacing him with Edinson Volquez is not reassuring.
Don't Expect Too Much From Him:
Wandy Rodriguez is a very good pitcher.  he proved that in Houston ofr several years and has had a strong year and a half in Pittsburgh.  Rodriguez is not an ace and will not be able to fill Burnett's shoes.
Expect Great Things From:
Andrew McCutcheon has been one of the unknown star players in the league for the last three years until he was finally recognized as the MVP last year.  McCutcheon should continue to get better and will hopefully be the next great player in the Pirates long history joining the names of Wagner, Waner, Clemente and Bonds.
Is This His Last Chance?:
Edinson Volquez had a great start to his career in Cincinnati but the last few years have been a struggle. After a few difficult years in San Diego and a failed late season stint with the Dodgers, Volquez is taking a shot at helping the Pirates.  If he fails in Pittsburgh he may not get another shot.
Prediction: 4th in NL Central

Chicago Cubs Logo Courtesy of Sports Logos.net

Chicago Cubs

Who's New: 

CATCHERS/INFIELDERS

George Kottras (C) trade from Royals,
John Baker (C) free agent from Dodgers,
Ryan Roberts (IF) free agent from Rays,
Chris Valaika (IF) trade from Marlins
Emilio Bonifacio (IF) free agent fromRoyals
OUTFIELDERS
Casper Wells (OF) free agent from Phillies,
Justin Ruggiano (OF) trade from Marlins,
Chris Coghlan (OF) free agent from Marlins
STARTING PITCHERS
Liam Hendricks (SP) waiver claim from Twins,
Jonathan Sanchez (SP) free agent from Dodgers
Jason Hammel (SP) free agent from Orioles
James McDonald (SP) free agent from Pirates
RELIEF PITCHERS
Chris Valaika (P) free agent from Marlins,
Wesley Wright (RP) free agent from Rays,
Jose Veras (RP) free agent from Tigers

Who Left: 

CATCHERS/INFIELDERS

 J.C. Boscan (C) free agent to Dodgers,
Dioner Navarro (C) free agent to Blue Jays,
Cody Ranson (3B) released
OUTFIELDERS
Brian Bougosevic (OF) trade to Marlins,
Cole Gillespe (OF) free agent to Mariners,
Thomas Neal (OF) free agent to Reds
Dave Sappelt (OF) free agent to Phillies
Daniel Bard (OF) free agent to Rangers
STARTING PITCHERS
Scott Baker (SP) free agent to Mariners
RELIEF PITCHERS
Eduardo Sanchez (RP) free agent to Tigers,
Zach Putnam (RP) free agent toWhite sox,
Michael Bowden (RP) free agent to Japan
Henry Alberto Rodriguez (RP) free agent to Marlins
Daniel Bard (RP) free agent to Rangers
Matt Guerrier (RP) free agent to Twins
Kevin Gregg (RP) unsigned free agent
Winter Headlines:
The Cubs get a new mascot.
What to Expect?:
Open the Cubs website and you will see their new slogan: Committed.  The Cubs have started their rebuilding process and appear to have a five year plan in place.  The problem is that until they can see if that five year plan is working there may be some truly terrible teams.  They definitely have some potentially great players in Ruggiano, Barney, Castro, Rizzo and Samardzjia but it is not enough to compete now.  In fact, some of those pieces may be moved for minor leaguers to help facilitate the five year plan.  The slogan may mean they are committed to winning but if could also be a warning that they will be committed to the asylum if things don't go the way they planned.
Why Should You Root for These Guys?:
Being a cursed organization is one thing.  Not winning a World Series for over 100 years is more than just a curse.  There is no longer suffering organization in sports than the Chicago Cubs.  They not only haven't won since 1908, they have had very few close calls.
Why Might This Season Not Turn Out the Way Cubs Fans Want?:
There is definitely talent on this team.  Most of the infield has great potential and there are a few veteran presences on the pitching staff that can help the team along.  The Cubs should be improved over last year's disappointment but don't expect them to challenge the top four in this division just yet.
Don't Expect Too Much From Him:
Starlin Castro  had a great first two years in the league and fell off each of the last two.  Castro has the ability to become a star in this league and the organization is working with him to get the most out of his talent.  If the Cub five year plan is effective Castro will need to be part of it but don't expect him to emerge as a star just yet.
Expect Great Things From:
Anthony Rizzo hit 23 Home Runs last year and drove in 80 RBI.  Somehow he only hit .233 for the year and struck out 127 times.  If Rizzo is able to improve his patience at the plate and make better decisions expect Rizzo to become the Cubs' All Star Representative.
Is This His Last Chance?:
Edwin Jackson was expected to be a Dodgers ace when he first entered the league.  That didn't happen.  He moved on to the Rays, Tigers, White Sox, Diamondbacks,Cardinals, White Sox again, Nationals and now the Cubs.  At every stop he has impressed the fan bases with his ability.  Though he has never become the superstar that was expected by the Dodgers he has become a very good pitcher.  The problem with journeymen players is that they sometimes get a reputation for being expendale and at some point run out of suitors.  Will the Cubs be the last stop for Jackson?
Prediction: 5th place in NL Central

*-Please be aware that these predictions are based on the rosters as set in the middle of March.  There are still several key free agents unsigned which could alter these previews.  Also, injuries during spring training could alter my outlook.  Check back next week for the NL West Preview and continue following to see my final predictions at the start of the season.

TRIVIA QUESTIONS:

The Cubs won the National League in 1906, 1907, 1908 and 1910 during the Tinker, Evers and Chance years.  They have not been as consistently in contention since.  How many post season appearances have the Cubs made since they lost the 1910 World Series?

Answer to Last Week's Trivia Question:

The divisional format in 1969 with the East and West starting play that year.  Here are the Eastern Division Rookies of The Year since then:

Carl Morton (Expos)1970

John Matlack (Mets)1972

Bake  McBride (Cardinals) 1974

Andre Dawson (Expos)1977

Daryl Strawberry (Mets) 1983

Doc Gooden (Mets) 1984

Vince Coleman (Cardinals) 1985

Todd Worrell (Cardinals) 1986

Jerome Walton (Cubs) 1989

Scott Rolen (Phillies) 1997

Rafael Furcal (Braves) 2000

Dontrelle Willis (Marlins) 2003

Ryan Howard (Phillies) 2005

Hanley Ramirez (Marlins) 2007

Chris Coghlan (Marlins) 2009

Craig Kimbrel (Braves) 2011

Bryce Harper (Nationals) 2012

Jose Fernandez (Marlins) 2013

2013 National League Central Preview

***The Division Preview that follows is not betting advice in any way shape or form.  Please do not bet any money based in any part on these predictions.***

Don't forget to also check out the AL East,  AL Central, AL West  and NL East previews from the past three weeks.  Check back next week for the NL Central preview.

This is a division in transition. The Reds are clearly on the incline while Milwaukee and St.Louis are falling towards the middle or bottom.  The Cubs are greatly improved and the Pirates (the only team in the division not to make the playoffs since the league moved to the three division format) are actually expected to compete for a playoff spot.  The division has changed since last season as the Astros have now moved to the American League West.

This division has provided fewer World Series participants than any other National League division.  The division did not produce a league Champion until the 2004 Cardinals.  Since then the division has only sent three more participants (2005 Astros, 2006 Cardinals and 2011 Cardinals).

Obviously the Cardinals have dominated the division for most of the NL Central's existence.  The Cardinals have won the division seven times (1996, 2000, 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006 and 2009).  The Reds have won three division titles (1995, 2010 and 2012). The Cubs have won three division titles (2003, 2007 and 2008).  The Astros won four division titles before moving to the American League West (1997, 1998, 1999 and 2001). The Brewers have won the division one time (2011) and the Pirates have never won the division. 

Although the Reds are clearly the best in the division, the other four teams could land in any of the other four spots.  Here is how I see it playing out:


Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds logo Courtesy of Sportslogos.net

Last Year's Record:
97-65 (1st Place in NL Central)
Lost to Giants 3-2 in NLDS.
Who's new?*:
Carlos Contreras (P) promoted from minors, Daniel Corcino (P) promoted from minors, Ismael Guillion (P) promoted from minors, Kyle Lotzkar (P) promoted from minors, Nick Massett (P) return from injury , Manny Parra (P) free agent from Brewers , Curtis Partch (P) promoted from minors, Josh Ravin (P) promoted from minors, Jason Donald (3B) trade from Indians, Jack Hannahan (3B) free agent from Indians, Donald Lutz (1B) promoted from minors, Neftali Soto (1B) promoted from minors, Shin-Soo Choo (OF) trade from Indians, Yoman Rodriguez (OF) promoted from minors.
Who left?*:
Bill Bray (P) free agent to Nationals, Todd Redmond (P) waiver claim by Orioles, Dioner Navarro (C) free agent to Cubs, Scott Rolen (3B) unsigned free agent, Miguel Cairo (SS) unsigned free agent, Wilson Valdez (SS) free agent to Giants , Didi Gregorious (SS) trade to Indians , Drew Stubbs (OF) trade to Indians, Willie Harris (UT) unsigned free agent, Mike Constanzo (UT) free agent to Nationals.
What to expect: 
The Reds have some unfinished business.  They had the best record in the NL for a good part of last season and Johnny Cueto was truly great last season.  The last month of the season was tough.  There was a controversy over whether the team was better with Todd Frazier or Scott Rolen in the everyday lineup.  Dusty Baker suffered a stroke and Johnny Cueto suffered an arm injury in the first playoff game. The Reds were the favorites going into the playoffs last year and had Cueto been healthy and Buster Posey not crushed their dream with one swing in game 5 of the NLDS things might have gone different.  Expect the Reds to be angry about the way last season ended and enter this year with a determination to correct it.
Why should you root for these guys?: 
The Reds are the original franchise.  Literally. The Cincinnati Redstockings way back in 1869 paid the first ever professional players.  Since then they have gone through waves of spectacular achievements (1919, 1940, 1975-1976, 1990 World Series Champions) as well as unspeakable lows (Pete Rose's scandal, Marge Schott's controversy, the controversy of the 1981 split season).  The league is always better when the original teams are competitive.  In addition, Dusty Baker is one of the most underrated managers in history.  He led the Giants to Game 7 in 2002 before being beaten by the Angels.  He led the Cubs to within a few innings of their first World Series since 1945.  Since taking over the Reds he has led them to two playoff appearances in the last three years, their first appearances in 15 years.  Baker has been questioned by the fans over whether he is the right man for the job and deserves nothing less than the hardware to prove that he is.
Why might this season not turn out like Reds fans want?: 
There are still plenty of questions for this team that have taken up nearly all of the off season.  Is Todd Frazier as good as he played in his rookie year?  Will Aroldis Chapman be a starter despite Baker's wishes that he still close?  Will Broxton be the Broxton of 2008 or the Broxton of 2010? Will Shin Soo Choo be the lead off hitter that Cincinnati thought Drew Stubbs would be? Luckily the Reds will have Baker to lead them and find the right answers to these questions and any others that might pop up.  Baker has already answered one question.,  Chapman will be the closer but now the question is what will happen to Broxton?
Don't expect too much from him: 
Todd Frazier started the year as a utility player off the bench filling in wherever the Reds needed him and pinch hitting.  By late July it was clear that he was having a great rookie season and needed to play everyday.  When Scott Rolen suffered through injuries Frazier forced Baker to decide between an unproven hot bat and an aching, recovering veteran.  Rolen went 4-16 in the NLDS.  Frazier went 1-6.  Frazier will get a full season to prove that he is the third baseman of the future.  Don't expect him to put up the numbers that earned Rolen his reputation but do expect him to be a key role player in the Reds drive for a pennant.
Expect great things from:
Brandon Phillips is hands down the best second baseman in the National League.  With Chase Utley suffering through several injury filled seasons Phillips has become the best at the position.  It is almost impossible to believe some of the plays he makes and what is even more impossible to believe is that there was no room for him on the All Star team last year.  Phillips not only shines in the field, he is a big piece of the Reds offensive attack and has good speed, great knowledge and great leadership skills.  When Votto went down with injuries last year Phillips caught fire until he also went down with injuries.  If he has a full season, look for Phillips to become the first Reds second baseman to win an MVP since Joe Morgan (who ironically will have his statue unveiled outside the stadium this year).
Time for him to step up:
Mike Leake started off the 2010 season on an unbelievable streak.  He was one of the big reasons for the Reds first playoff appearance since 1995.  He went 12-9 in 2011 and only 8-9 in 2012.  The Reds will need Leake to step up and show that he is the pitcher he was in the first half of 2010.
Is this his last chance?:
Johnathon Broxton was the Dodgers closer when they made playoff runs in 2008 and 2009.  The 2010 and 2011 seasons were disasters for Broxton.  He somehow lost his ability to shut other teams down.  Joe Torre stuck with him as long as he could but the fans turned on him and it was bad enough that the Dodgers had to change their billboard ads to remove Broxton.  Broxton moved the Royals as a free agent for 2012 and moved to the Reds in a trading deadline deal.  If Broxton does not force the Reds to keep Chapman in the rotation he may not find many more opportunities to close.
Prediction:
1st Place in NL Central

Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates Logo Courtesy of Sportslogos.net

Last Year's Record:
79-83 (4th Place in NL Central)
Who's new?*:
Vic Black (P) promoted from minors, Jeanmar Gomez (P) trade from Indians, Phil Irwin (P) promoted from minors, Francisco Liriano (P) free agent from White Sox , Mark Melancon (P) trade from Red Sox, Andy Oliver (P) trade from Tigers, Stolmy  Pimentel (P) trade from Red Sox, Hunter Strickland (P) free agent from minors, Duke Welker (P) promoted from minors, Russell Martin (C) free agent from Yankees, Tony Sanchez (C) promoted from minors, Jerry Sands (OF)trade from Red Sox, Brandon Inge (3B)  free agent from Athletics.
Who left?*:
Kevin Correia (P) free agent to Twins, Joel Hanrahan (P) trade to Red Sox,  Daniel McCutchen (P) free agent to Orioles, Evan Meek (P) free agent to Rangers, Chad Qualls (P) free agent to Marlins, Chris Resop (P) trade to Athletics,  Doug Slaten (P) unsigned free agent, Hisanori Takahashi (P) free agent to Cubs , Rick Van den Hurk (P) unsigned free agent, Rod Barajas (C) free agent to Diamondbacks, Jeff Clement (1B) free agent to Twins, Brock Holt  (2B) trade to Red Sox, Gorkys Hernandez (OF) , Eric fryer (OF) free agent to Twins , Drew Sutton (OF) free agent to Red Sox, Yamaico Navarro (UT) trade to Orioles.
What to expect: 
Pirates fans are frustrated, and rightfully so.  After two straight seasons of teasing the fans, the Pirates have fallen off late in the year.  Pirates fans will likely benefit from the second wild card position and Pirates fans can look forward to a competitive season and hopefully the first winning season in a very long time.
Why should you root for these guys?: 
Just like the Cincinnati Reds, the Pirates have a long history of winning, although you wouldn't be able to tell from the last 20 years.  When the modern era began in 1900 the Pirates were the absolute dominant team led by Honus Wagner, Fred Clarke and Tommy Leach.  The Pirates lost the first World Series to the Red Sox in 1903 and won their first World Series in 1909 in the first ever 7 Game World Series.  Since then the Pirates have won the World Seres in 1925, 1960, 1971 and 1979 and reached the World Series but lost in 1927.  The Pirates also dominated the National League East in the 1970's and early 1990's winning the division in 1970, 1971, 1972, 1974, 1975, 1979, 1990, 1991 and 1992.  Every era of the Pirates' success has produced some of the most recognizable names in the history of the game: Honus Wagner, Lloyd Waner, Paul Waner, Pie Traynor, Roberto Clemente, Dick Groat, Bill Mazeroski, Barry Bonds, Bobby Bonillia, Andy Van Slyke.  Also similar to the Reds, the league is better when they are competitive.
Why might this season not turn out like Pirates fans want?: 
It is unbelievably difficult, in any sport, to overcome a culture of losing in an organization.   You can imagine going to work at your own job everyday with the feeling of dread that before you get there it is already a bad day.  The Pirates have had that losing culture since 1993.  Clint Hurdle, one of the most underrated managers in baseball, has worked hard to instill a positive attitude in the clubhouse but late collapses in both of the last two years could lead the Pirates to dread August and September this year.
Don't expect too much from him: 
James McDonald  came to the Pirates from the Dodgers in a trade deadline deal in 2010 for Octavio Dotel.  The Pirates have clearly gotten the better of the deal as McDonald has shown stretches of great promise.  McDonald had a first half that had many asking why he did not pitch on the All Star team.  His second half was almost the exact opposite.  McDonald finished the season 12-8 with a 4.41 ERA.  The true James McDonald is probably somewhere between the great 9-3 first half and the dismal 4-5 second half.  You can expect McDonald to improve this year but don't expect 20 wins.
Expect great things from:
Andrew McCutcheon had a break out year in 2012.  At least that's what most people believed.  The truth is he just improved on his break out season of 2011 and with an increased confidence (and a hell of a work ethic) McCutcheon will likely improve on last season.  McCutcheon is the leader of this team and will need some support from other players but if the Pirates make the playoffs you can expect McCutcheon to be a strong MVP candidate.
Time for him to step up:
Russell Martin started his career as an All Star Catcher (converted from Third Base) for the Dodgers.  The Dodgers had Dionner Navarro set to be the Catcher of the future with high expectations before Martin made it clear that he was the better option.  Martin was one of the top Catchers in the league until a single misstep in 2010 separated his hip.  The uncertainty of his health led the Dodgers to allow him to move on to the Yankees where he had average numbers.  Martin had a strong late August and September last year and showed signs of being the same Russell Martin that Dodgers fans fell in love with in Los Angeles.  The Pirates will not only need Martin to return to his All Star form and continue his success of late 2012, they will need him to bring the winning attitude he experienced in Los Angeles and New York.
Is this his last chance?:
Wandy Rodriguez pitched well for the Houston Astros 2005 World Series team but when the starting rotation includes Roy Oswalt, Roger Clemens and Andy Pettite it is easy to get overlooked.  Rodriguez pitched in two games in that World Series, showing enough promise to be considered the future ace of the team.  His 2005 10-10 season was followed up by 9-10, 9-13 and 9-7 seasons.  He finally seemed to get on track in 2009 with a 14-12 season but he again disappointed the Astros in 2010 (11-12) and 2011 (11-11) leading them to trade him to Pittsburgh in a deadline deal in 2012.  Rodriguez no longer has the pressure of being the ace of the staff and the fresh start in the excited Pittsburgh environment may give his career the jump start he needs.  If not he may be moved to a long relief position instead of a starter.
Prediction:
2nd Place in NL Central

St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals Logo Courtesy of sportslogos.net

Last Year's Record:
88-74 (2nd Place in NL Central, Second Wild Card)
Defeated Braves in Wild Card Game
Defeated Nationals 3-2 in NLDS
Lost to Giants 4-3 in NLCS
Who's new?*:
Michael Blazek (P) promoted from minors, Keith Butler (P) promoted from minors, Randy Choate (P) free agent from Dodgers , Eric Fornataro (P) promoted from minors , Jorge Rondon (P) promoted from minors, Kevin Siegrist (P) promoted from minors, Ronny Cedeno (SS) free agent from Mets, Ty Wigginton (3B) free agent from Phillies.
Who left?*:
Brian Fuentes (P) unsigned free agent, Chris Carpenter (P) injury, Kyle Lohse (P) unsigned free agent , Kyle McClellan (P) free agent to Rangers, Lance Berkman (1B) free agent to Rangers,Skip Schumaker (2B) trade to Dodgers, Rafael Furcal (SS) injury, Bryan Anderson (UT) free agent to White Sox.
What to expect: 
The Cardinals lost their leader in Albert Pujols in 2012 but they managed to get a great season out of Carlos Beltran to minimize the damage.  The Cardinals may have over achieved in 2012, riding the emotion of an unbelievable 2011 World Series win and coming within one victory of reaching the World Series.  This off season is the exact opposite.  They will have to recover from the devastating end to the 2012 season as well as the loss for the season of two of their great team leaders, Chris Carpenter and Rafael Furcal, to injuries.  Add to that the losses of Kyle Lohse and Lance Berkman to free agency and Skip Schumaker in a trade with few additions to offset the losses and you have the potential for a big drop off in St. Louis. 
Why should you root for these guys?: 
I don't mean to sound repetitive but the Cardinals have a tradition of being one of the most successful teams in the history of the game.  They did not win their first World Series until 1926 but since then they have had very few periods where they were not competitive.  Only the Yankees (27) have more World Series wins than the Cardinals, who also claim the best fan base in baseball.  For anyone who longs for some team to catch the Yankees as the winningest franchise, the Cardinals are your best bet (just have some patience because it could take a long time).
Why might this season not turn out like Cardinals fans want?: 
Similar to the Phillies, this could be a defining year for the Cardinals.  The organization could go one of two ways:  they could get angry over the way last year ended and fight the world to prove they were the better team or the end of last season could lead to a negative outlook in the clubhouse.  The Cardinals had two players on the 2012 roster who could help prevent the latter:  Rafael Furcal and Chris Carpenter.  Both men will be out for the year.  Carpenter's career might be in jeopardy.  Last year Carpenter missed most of the season but the team could track his progress knowing that if they could just make the playoffs their ace would be there with his winning aura.  This year they know that he won't be there.  It is a huge psychological swing.  Add to that the loss of Furcal for the year.  Any fan in Los Angeles or St.Louis will tell you that Furcal brings more to the team than just the numbers on the back of his baseball card.  Furcal was a "motor guy", he was the spark plug that started everything and brought the energy to the lineup.  When the 2011 Cardinals fought their way to a World Series win Furcal was usually the one who was making things happen.  The loss of the leadership of these two players could not have come at a worse possible time.
Don't expect too much from him: 
Pete Kozma has an opportunity to prove he can be a major league Shortstop.  He played in 26 games last year and hit .333 with 24 hits, 10 of them for extra bases.  Kozma has some big shoes to fill in taking over for Rafael Furcal.  Kozma will probably not be an all star or rookie of the year candidate but he does have a chance to contribute to the Cardinals season.
Expect great things from:
Adam Wainwright missed the entire 2011 World Series Championship season but returned last season to win 14 games.  While the Cardinals would have loved to have their 1-2 punch of Wainwright and Carpenter they will have to settle for just Wainwright.  Expect Wainwright to continue his excellent career and possibly be a 20 game winner.
Time for Him to Step Up:
Matt Holliday has been an All Star and considered one of the best players in the game.  He has one big flaw: his fielding.  Cardinals fans have been patient, even giving him a standing ovation after his failed catch allowed the Dodgers to win a 2009 playoff game the Cardinals should have won.  The Cardinals need Holliday to improve his fielding as well as bringing his average above .300, where it has been his entire career, except for 2011 and 2012.  With the loss of Berkman and Furcal Holliday will need to work with Beltran to lead this team.
Is this his last chance?:
Rafael Furcal will miss this entire season.  His season last year ended early for the same elbow issues.  While playing with the Dodgers he had major problems because of his back and missed parts of nearly every season in Los Angeles.  Furcal hopes to be back next season but it may not be with the Cardinals.  His contract expires at the end of the season.
Prediction:
3rd Place in NL Central

Chicago Cubs

Classic Chicago Cubs Logo Courtesy of sportslogos.net

Last Year's Record:
61-101 (5th in NL Central)
Who's new?*:
Scott Baker (P) free agent from Twins , Scott Feldman (P) free agent from Rangers, Kyuji Fujikawa (P) free agent from Japan, Edwin Jackson (P) free agent from Nationals, Trey McNutt (P) promoted from minors, Hector Rondon (P) Rule 5 draft pick from Indians, Carlos Villanueva (P) free agent from Blue Jays , Arodys Vizcaino (P) trade from Braves, Robert Whitenack (P) promoted from minors, Dioner Navarro (C) free agent from Reds, Junior Lake(SS) promoted from minors, Christian Villanueva (3B) free agent from minors , Logan Watkins (2B) free agent from minors ,Scott Hairston (OF) free agent from Mets, Nate Schierholtz (OF) free agent from Phillies, Jorge Soler (OF) free agent from Cuba, Matt Szczur (OF) promoted from minors.
Who left?*:
Jeff Beliveu (P) waiver claim by Rangers, Manuel Corpas (P) free agent to Rockies, Justin Germano (P) , Alex Hinshaw (P) free agent to Blue Jays, Rodrigo Lopez (P) free agent to Phillies, Paul Maholm (P) trade to Braves, Miguel Socolovich (P) unsigned free agent, Chris Volstad (P) waiver claim by Royals, Randy Wells (P) free agent to Rangers, Tony Campana (OF) trade to Diamondbacks, Reed Johnson (OF) trade to Braves, Bryan LaHair (UT) unsigned free agent,  Anthony Recker (UT) waiver claim by Mets, Blake DeWitt (3B) free agents to Braves, Adrian Cardenas (IF)unsigned free agent , Joe Mather (P) ,free agent to Phillies.
What to expect: 
Cubs fans can be excited for the future but this season is not likely going to be a good one.  The team is definitely moving in the right direction and building the team from the ground up and are timing their climb to the top while the Cardinals and Brewers are starting to lose some of the players that helped them become the leaders in the division.  The Cubs are probably a few years away from competing but they are certainly back on the right track.
Why should you root for these guys?: 
The Cubs have won two World Series in their history and had one of the best teams not to win a World Series when they lost to their crosstown rivals, the White Sox. All three of those seasons happened between 1906-1908.  Since then the Cubs have lost the World Series in 1910, 1918, 1931, 1932, 1935, 1938 and 1945.  They have not been back since. Winning a World Series for Cubs fans would be similar to the Red Sox ending their 80+ year drought.
Why might this season not turn out like Cubs fans want?: 
The Cubs are building a team but they still have some serious holes in their lineup, most notably in Centerfield, Catcher and depth of the pitching rotation.  If they make a few smart moves this season and upgrade at those key positions they will go a long way to getting into the playoff race.
Don't expect too much from him: 
Jeff Smardzija is officially a losing pitcher.  His career record is 21-22.  Smardzija is much better than his record shows but his losses have been a product of the weak lineup that has been behind him.  As the Cubs improve expect his record to improve with it.  Just don't expect him to be a 20 game winner just yet.
Expect great things from:
Darwin Barney won a Gold Glove last year though few would have guessed he was that good.  Barney quietly won the award and improved at the plate in the same season.  Barney will be a big part of the Cubs future and could develop into their marquee player. 
Time for Him to Step Up:
Matt Garza helped the Rays become a consistent playoff contender in the American League.  Since joining the Cubs he has finished with a 10-10 record in 2011 and 5-7 in 2012.  The Cubs signed Garza to be their ace but he has struggled adjusting to the National League.  If the Cubs expect to make a surprise run at the playoffs Garza will need to be what the Cubs expected.
Is this is last chance?:
Alfonso Soriano was a big star in New York when the Yankees won the 2000 World Series.  He was looked at as the future organization.  He was happy in New York.  Then came February of 2004 when the Yankees saw an opportunity to get Alex Rodriguez and Soriano was traded to the Rangers.  He was not happy about the trade and after two years got himself moved to a worse situation:  the Nationals.  Not only was he sent to a team that was not competitive, he was told he was no longer an infielder, he was now a Leftfielder and he was not happy.  He got his opportunity to choose his next stop, Chicago, but he has not lived up to expectations and has long been part of trade rumors.  Soriano will need to put up some tremendous numbers if he wants to stick around to see the Cubs rebuilding  through to the final success.
Prediction:
4th Place in NL Central

Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers Logo Courtesy of sportslogos.net

Last Year's Record:
83-79 (3rd Place in NL Central)
Who's new?*:
Burke Badenhop (P) free agent from Rays, Nick Bucci (P) free agent from minors, Hiram Burgos (P) promoted from minors, Miguel De Los Santos (P) promoted from minors, Michael Gonzalez (P) free agent from Nationals, Tom Gorzelany (P) free agent from Nationals , Johnny Hellweg (P) promoted from minors , Santo Manzanillo (P) promoted from minors, Michael Olmstead (P) promoted from minors, Ariel Pena (P) promoted from minors, Jesus Sanchez (P) promoted from minors, Scooter Gennett (2B) promoted from minors  , Khristopher Davis (OF) promoted from minors, Kaleb Gindi (OF) promote from minors, Josh Prince (OF) promoted from minors.
Who left?*:
Vinnie Chulk (P) unsigned free agent, Tim Dillard (P) unsigned free agent, Livan Hernandez (P) unsigned free agent, Shaun Marcum (P) free agent to Mets, Mike McClendon (P) free agent to Rockies, Manny Parra (P) free agent to Reds, Juan Perez (P) free agent to Blue Jays, Francisco Rodriguez (P)unsigned free agent , Jose Veras (P) free agent to Astros, Yorvit Torrealba (C) free agent to Rockies , Travis Ishikawa (1B) free agent to Orioles, Edwin Maysonet (IF) free agent to Cubs, Nyjer Morgan (OF) unsigned free agent.
What to expect: 
The Brewers are clearly moving backwards.  The team is continuously losing strong players, they lost Shawn Marcum, Manny Parra and Nyjer Morgan this season and lost Prince Fielder last off season while trading Zack Greinke in mid season.  Though they lost all these players they have not replaced them with quality players.  Ryan Braun is still a star but is under even more scrutiny than he was last season.  The pitching rotation is thin and John Axford has struggled.  The Brewers have been competitive since 2007 but this year the bottom may fall out.
Why should you root for these guys?: 
The Brewers have had a tough existence.  They began as the Seattle Pilots for one season then moved to Milwaukee.  They came into existence at the beginning of division play and were dumped into a division with dominant Yankees, Red Sox, Orioles and Tigers teams.  When the league moved to a three division format the Brewers were put in a division with strong Indians and White Sox teams.  When the league expanded to include Tampa Bay and Arizona the Brewers were moved to a division with strong Cardinals, Reds, Cubs and Astros teams.  They were finally able to build a strong team on a budget but have been unable to retain the key components, who got big contracts elsewhere.  The city of Milwaukee has always supported the team but have not always gotten their money's worth in return.  It would be nice to see the faith of the fans rewarded.
Why might this season not turn out like Brewers fans want?: 
This team is clearly on the decline.  The key pieces have started to move on and are not being replaced.  The team will need to rebuild the minor league system and hope to be able to do it quickly.
Don't expect too much from him: 
Ryan Braun has been the Brewers marquee player during their current run of success and when his career is over he will be spoken of along with the greats of Brewers history like Yount, Molitor, Gantner and Higuera.  Braun was the MVP in 2011 based on leading the Brewers to the division title, although Matt Kemp had near triple crown numbers.  In the offsesaon between 2011 and 2012 it was revealed that Braun tested positive for PED's although he won an appeal on a technicality.  His numbers in 2012 were actually better than his 2011 season.  Although his average dropped from .332 to .319 his Home Runs increased from 33 to 41, his hits increased from 187 to 191 and his RBI increased by 1.  Braun does not have the protection in the lineup that he has had over the past few years an the Brewers do not seem to be interested (or capable) of spending the money to get him help.  Other than Aramis Ramirez there is little help available.  You can expect Braun to be an All Star but don't expect his numbers to go up again or for Braun to be an MVP candidate.
Expect great things from:
Aramis Ramirez has quietly been one of the best third basemen in the league for over a decade.  He had one of the best years of his great career in 2012 but did not make the All Star team (4 other third basemen did). Ramirez hit .300, scored 92 runs (eight more than 2011), drove in 105 (12 more than 2011), 50 doubles (15 more than 2011) and 27 HR (1 more than 2011).  Ramirez entered the league in 1998 (2000 as a full time player) but appears to be a long way for being done with his career.
Time for him to step up:
Marco Estrada is a young pitcher with a ton of talent.  As the Brewers entered the 2012 season their pitching staff appeared to be a strength with Greinke, Marcum, Gallardo and Estrada as their four main starters. Estrada struggled and ended with a 5-7 record, though a respectable 3.67 ERA (although he allowed 18 HR in 138 1/3 Innings).  With Marcum in New York and Greinke in LA, Estrada is now the number two pitcher in the rotation.  If the Brewers want to avoid falling to the bottom they will need a lot of help from their pitching staff, starting with Estrada.
Is this his last chance?:
John Axford had a rough 2012.  He saved 35 games but he also had 9 blown saves.  Closers do not usually last more than a few seasons in this league (closers like Rivera and Trevor Hoffman can be considered freaks in their lines of business) because it is such a difficult job to do.  The margin of error for a relief pitcher is so minuscule, and the attention given to any failure is so large, that it is nearly impossible to remain a closer for more than a few years.  With a weaker starting rotation and less offensive weapons, Axford may need to wait longer in between save opportunities.  Axford will need to make the most of his save opportunities if he wants to remain the closer.
Prediction:
5th Place in NL Central

*-All roster changes are based on active rosters at the end of 2012 and active rosters as of the week of 3/3.  Teams may have non-roster invitees in camp who are not listed in the "Who's New?" category.