Showing posts with label Minnesota Twins. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Minnesota Twins. Show all posts

Sunday, March 15, 2015

2015 American League Central

***The Division Preview that follows is not betting advice in any way shape or form.  Please do not bet any money based in any part on these predictions.***

Don't forget to check out the National League EastNational League CentralNational League West and American League East previews and check back next week for the American League West.


Detroit Tigers
Who's New?: 
CATCHERS/INFIELDERS
None
OUTFIELDERS
Xavier Avery, OF (Free Agent from Mariners)
Anthony Gose, OF (Trade from Blue Jays)
Yoenes Cespedes, OF (Trade from Red Sox)
STARTING PITCHERS
Alfredo Simon, SP (Trade from Reds)
Shane Greene, SP (Trade from Yankees)
RELIEF PITCHERS
Alex Wilson, RP (Trade from Red Sox)
Alberto Cabrera, RP (Free Agent from Cubs)
Tom Gorzelany, RP (Free Agent from Tigers)

Who Left?:  
CATCHER/INFIELDERS
Eugenio Suarez, SS (Trade to Reds)
Danny Worth, SS (Free Agent to Diamondbacks)
OUTFIELDERS
Torii Hunter, OF (Free Agent to Twins)
Ezequiel Carrera, OF (Free Agent to Blue Jays)
Don Kelly, OF (Free Agent to Marlins)
STARTING PITCHERS
Robbie Ray, SP (Trade to Diamondbacks)
Shane Greene, SP (Trade to Yankees)
Rick Porcello, SP (Trade to Red Sox)
Max Scherzer, SP (Free Agent to Nationals)
RELIEF PITCHERS
Jose Ortega, RP (Free Agent to Rockies)
Justin Miller, RP( Free Agent to Rockies)
Kevin Whelan, RP (Free Agent to A's)
Jim Johnson,RP (Free Agent to Braves)
Pat McCoy, RP (Waiver Claim by Orioles)
Jose Ortega, RP (Free Agent to Rockies)
Casey Crosby, RP (Free Agent to Red Sox)
Duane Below, RP (Free Agent to Mets)
Phil Coke, RP (Free Agent to Cubs)
Evan Reed, RP (Unsigned Free Agent)
Winter Headlines:
Victor Martinez gives Tigers an uncomfortable de ja vu.
Scherzer holds Detroit in limbo while the other pitchers land in other cities.
What to Expect?:
The Tigers are more vulnerable this year than they have been since 2008.  Verlander is still the ace of the staff and the identity of this team but injuries have kept him from matching his 2011 numbers.  David Price will be a nice replacement for Scherzer but not having Scherzer, Fister, Porcello or Smyley to fill in third in the rotation.  Anibal Sanchez is a strong pitcher when heathy but he missed a lot of time in 2014 to injury.  Add to that Cabrera and VMart starting the year with injuries and the division could be up for grabs.
Why Should You Root for These Guys?:
As we saw in the "Almost a Dynasty" article a few months ago, the Tigers have come close to winning it all and suffered some very painful near misses.  For players like Verlander and Cabrera it would be nice to see them hoist a trophy.
Why Might This Season Not Turn Out the Way Tigers Fans Want?:
Injuries, age and lack of depth.  Fortunately for the Tigers the division is not particularly strong so they may have another year at the top.  The bad news for the Tigers is that Chicago and Minnesota are improved and may push the Tigers.
Don't Expect Too Much From Him:
This could be most of the offense.  Cabrera and VMart are hurting.  Julio Iglesias is not an offensive threat and J.D. Martinez will suffer from not having the big bats in front of him.  The lack of offense could be the Tigers undoing.
Expect Great Things From:
My first thought when I heard that Cespedes was traded to Detroit was how sad it was that he would be hitting in such a big park.  Then I realized that he had been playing in the gigantic Coliseum in Oakland for the first few years of his career.  With the injuries to he rest of the big bats expect Cespedes to step up until they come back healthy.
Is This His Last Chance?:
Joakim Soria was at one time the closer and All Star representative for the Royals, routinely saving 30 plus games a year (twice surpassing 40).  His experience in Texas and Detroit last year was not a positive one and he is now slated for middle relief.  He needs to overtake Joe Nathan and regain his closing form or he may not get another opportunity.
Prediction: 1st in AL Central




Chicago White Sox
Who's New: 
CATCHERS/INFIELDERS
Juan Diaz, SS (Free Agent from Marlins)
Adam LaRoche, 1B (Free Agent from Nationals)
George Kottaras, C (Free Agent from Blue Jays)
Emilio Bonifacio, IF (Free Agent from Braves)
Geovany Soto, C (Free Agent from Athletics)
Gordon Beckham, 2B (Free Agent from Angels)
OUTFIELDERS
J.B. Schuck, OF (Waiver Claim from Indians)
Tony Campana, OF (Free Agent from Angels)
Melky Cabrera, OF (Free Agent from Blue Jays)
Engel Beltre, OF (Free Agent from Rangers)
Andy La Roche, OF (Free Agent from Blue Jays)
STARTING PITCHERS
Zach Duke, SP (Free Agent from Brewers)
Jeff Samardzjia, SP (Trade from Athletics)
Brad Penny, SP (Free Agent from Marlins)
Charlie Leesman, SP (Free Agent to Pirates)
RELIEF PITCHERS
Joe Savery, RP (Free Agent from A's)
Logan Kensing, RP (Free Agent from Mariners)
David Robertson, RP (Free Agent from White Sox)
Dan Jennings, RP (Trade from Marlins)
Jesse Crain, RP (Free Agent from Astros)
Matt Albers, RP (Free Agent from Astros)

Who Left: 
CATCHERS/INFIELDERS
Paul Konerko, 1B (Retired)
Marcus Semien, IF (Trade to Athletics)
Josh Phegley, C (Trade to Athletics)
Chris Bassitt, C (Trade to Athletics)
OUTFIELDERS
Matt Tuiasasopo, OF (Free Agent to Orioles)
Jordan Danks, OF (Free Agent to Phillies)
Dayan Viciedo, OF (Free Agent to Blue Jays)
STARTING PITCHERS
Chieng Ming Wang, SP (Free Agent to Braves)
Donnie Veal, SP (Free Agent to Braves)
Andre Rienzo, SP (Trade to Marlins)
Charlie Leesman, SP (Free Agent to Pirates)
Felipe Paulino, SP (Free Agent to Red Sox)
RELIEF PITCHERS
Scott Snodgress, RP (Free agent to Angels)
Daniel McCutcheon, RP (Free Agent to Padres)
Henry Alberto Rodriguez, RP (Free Agent from Diamondbacks)
Ronald Belisario, RP (Free Agent to Rays)
Matt Lindstrom, RP (Free Agent to Angels)
Winter Headlines:  
Big moves in the off season lead to raised expectations
What to Expect?:
The team is clearly improved and the fact that Detroit appears to have fallen back towards the pack has given many people in Chicago hopes of the post season.  In fact, at the beginning of the off season I myself had the feeling that the Sox were going to be a power to be reckoned with.  Yet after looking at their lineup from top to bottom I am not quite ready for them to overtake the top of the division just yet.
Why Should You Root for These Guys?:
This is a young (mostly) and exciting group.  If they continue to improve at the same time the cross town Cubs seem to be doing we may have a 1906 Windy City rematch in  few years.
Why Might This Season Not Turn Out the Way White Sox Fans Want?:
This team is greatly improved and is certainly looking to head in the right direction but there are still a few holes in this lineup such as Catcher, Second Base, Corner Outfielders and pitching depth.  The Sox will need some people to outperform expectations if they hope to make the post season as they are currently constructed.
Don't Expect Too Much From Him:
When the A's picked up Jeff Samardzija at the trade deadline last year some people handed them the AL title. In reality, Samardzija is a very good pitcher who is still learning but he has yet to pitch with a very strong team behind him for a full season.  In 2011 Samardzija went 8-4 for the Cubs.  Since then his season records are 9-13, 8-13 and 7-13.  It will be nice to see what he can do with a strong White Sox team behind him but don't expect a Cy Young.
Expect Great Things From:
The White Sox have a potential 1-2 punch that they hae not had since Frank Thomas and Robin Ventura came to town in the early 1990s.  Adam Eaton and Jose Abreu.  Eaton led the league with 10 triples last season and scored 76 runs.  Getting on base ahead of an improved White Sox top of the order could lead to nearly 100 runs for Eaton.  Jose Abreu had a monster year for a rookie (or for anyone) hitting .317 with 35 2B, 36 HR and 107 RBI.  Any success the Sox have will be directly tied to this pair.
Is This His Last Chance?:
In 2012 Melky Cabrera was on his way to an MVP award until he was suspended for steroids, then lied about it to his teammates, fans and the league.  He was forced into more service than expected because of Blue Jays injuries last season and had a strong year but the tainted 2012 season seems to continue following him around.  If his numbers fall off in a full season his usefulness to other clubs could be questioned.
Prediction: 2nd in AL Central





Kansas City Royals:
Who's New:  
CATCHERS/INFIELDERS
Nessy Santiago, C (Trade from Blue Jays)
Kendrys Morales, 1B (Free Agent from Mariners)
J.C.Boscan, C (Free Agent from Dodgers)
OUTFIELDERS
Ryan Roberts, OF (Free Agent from Red Sox)
Alex Rios, OF (Free Agent from Rangers)
Alex Liddi, OF (Free Agent from Dodgers)
STARTING PITCHERS
Brian Flynn, SP (Trade from Marlins)
Yohan Pino, SP (Free Agent from Twins)
Kris Medlen, SP (Free Agent from Braves)
Edinson Volquez, SP (Free Agent from Pirates)
Franklin Morales, SP(Free Agent from Rockies)
Chris Young, SP (Free Agent from Mariners)
RELIEF PITCHERS
Joe Paterson, RP (Free Agent from Diamondbacks)
Who Left:  
CATCHERS/INFIELDERS
Billy Butler, DH/1B (Free Agent to A's)
Paul Janish, IF (Free Agent to Orioles)
Brett Hayes, C (Free Agent to Indians)
Jayson Nix, IF (Free Agent to Orioles)
OUTFIELDERS
Josh Willingham, OF (Retirement)
Nori Aoki, OF (Free Agent to Giants)
Justin Maxwell, OF (Free Agent to Giants)
Raul Ibanez, OF (Unsigned Free Agent)
Carlos Peguero, OF (Unsigned Free Agent)
STARTING PITCHERS
James Shields, SP (Free Agent to Giants)
Bruce Chen, SP (Free Agent to Indians)
RELIEF PITCHER
Pedro Ciriaco, RP (Free Agent to Braves)
Blake Wood, RP (Free Agent to Pirates)
Aaron Crow, RP (Trade toMarlins)
Liam Hendricks, RP (Trade to Blue Jays)
Scott Downs, RP (Free Agent to Indians)
Francisley Bueno, RP (Free Agent to Cubs)
Winter Headlines:  
How will they follow up the 2014 success?
What to Expect?:
The Royals surprised quite a few people last year.  Although I had expected them to push Detroit for the Central Division and reach the playoffs, the World Series run was definitely a surprise.  Although their lineup is mostly the same it is not improved.  A healthy Sal Perez should be a nice boost and the confidence of winning last year can't be underestimated but a return to the series is probably a lot to ask.
Why Should You Root for These Guys?:
These guys got so close last year and entertained everyone in the post season.  It is hard to root against this group and it would be nice to see them finish what they started.
Why Might This Season Not Turn Out the Way Royals Fans Want?:
Their ace, James Shields, left and was not replaced.  The pitching staff, despite their strong performance in October, is not at the same level as the competition.  Ventura is probably a future ace but Edinson Volquez and Kris Medlen are not a replacement for Shields.
Don't Expect Too Much From Him:
Jason Vargas out pitched some greatly talented competition in the playoffs but his career numbers don't hold up to last offseason.  He is currently listed as a number two starter in the KC rotation but don't expect his regular season numbers to reflect last year's post season success.
Expect Great Things From:
The Kansas City outfield group is absolutely amazing.  Watching the playoffs last year the defense turned nearly every extra base hit into an easy out.  Expect three gold gloves in the outfield this year.
Prediction: 3rd in AL Central



Minnesota Twins:
Who's New:  
CATCHERS/INFIELDERS
Argenis Diaz, SS (Free Agent from Diamondbacks)
OUTFIELDERS
Torii Hunter, OF (Free Agent from Tigers)
Shane Robinson, OF (Free Agent from Cardinals)
STARTING PITCHERS
Ervin Santana, SP (Free Agent from Braves)
RELIEF PITCHERS
Tim Stauffer, RP (Free Agent from Padres)
Brayan Villareal, RP (Free Agent from Red Sox)
Blaine Boyer, RP (Free Agent from Padres)
Who Left:  
CATCHERS/INFIELDERS
Chris Colabello, 1B (Waiver Claim by Blue Jays)
OUTFIELDERS
Jason Kubel, OF (Unsigned Free Agent)
Chris Parmalee, OF (Free Agent to Orioles)
STARTING PITCHERS
Yohan Pino, SP (Free Agent to Twins)
RELIEF PITCHERS
Matt Guerier, RP (Unsigned Free Agent)
Anthony Schwarzak, RP (Free Agent to Indians)
Jared Burton, RP (Free Agent to Yankees)
Winter Headlines: 
Hunter Comes Home
What to Expect?:
The Twins are greatly improved. Adding Torii Hunter, although nearing the end of his career, immediately improves any team.  Adding Ervin Santana to the rotation is also a big help.  Twins fans should expect improvement but a playoff run is a very very long shot.
Why Should You Root for These Guys?:
Joe Mauer and Torii Hunter are two of the classiest guys in the business and neither have won a World Series.  Winning a World Series is not a realistic hope for this team but it is always nice to dream about Torii Hunter lifting the trophy.
Why Might This Season Not Turn Out the Way Twins Fans Want?:
There is some great talent on this team at a range of stages in their career.  Hunter and Mauer are long time stars.  Kurt Suzuki is an under rated talent behind the plate and Trevor Plouffe is a rising star at third.  Still, there is not enough talent and too many holes to consider this a true contending team.
Don't Expect Too Much From Him:
Ervin Santana is a good pitcher who was a bit of a disappointment in his days in Anaheim.  He showed flashes of greatness but he was never able to give the Angels the counterpart to Jared Weaver that was expected when he came up.  Santana will greatly improve the team but he is not a miracle cure.
Expect Great Things From:
My advice to fans of baseball everywhere, not just those who go to Target Field, is to enjoy watching Torii Hunter and Joe Mauer for as long as you can.  Enjoy every base hit, every smile and every magnificent play they give you
Is This His Last Chance?:
Mike Pelfrey continues to plug away in a career that has now reached nearly a decade.  At 55-70 and 4.56 his career numbers don't match what was expected of him when he arrived on the scene in 2006.  Pelfrey is listed on the Twins depth chart as the sixth starter and will need to fight to stay in the rotation.
Prediction: 4th in AL Central



Cleveland Indians:

Who's New:  
CATCHERS/INFIELDERS
Adam Moore, C (Waiver Claim from Padres)
Brandon Moss, 1B (Trade from Athletics)
Jerry Sands, IF/DH (Free Agent from Rays)
Brett Hayes, C (Free Agent from Royals)
Michael Martinez, IF (Free Agent from Pirates)
OUTFIELDERS
None
STARTING PITCHERS
Gavin Floyd, SP (Free Agent from Braves)
Anthony Swarzak, SP (Free Agent from Twins)
Bruce Chen, SP (Free Agent from Royals)
RELIEF PITCHERS
Jeff Manship, RP (Free Agent from Philies)
Scott Downs, RP (Free Agent from Royals)
Michael Roth, RP (Free Agent from Angels)
Who Left: 
CATCHERS/INFIELDERS
Chris Gimenez, C (Free Agent to Rangers)
Bryan La Hair, IF (Free Agent to Red Sox)
Elliott Johnson, IF (Free Agent to Rangers)
Jason Giambi, IF (Unsigned Free Agent)
OUTFIELDERS
J.B. Schuck, OF (Waiver Claim by White Sox)
Matt Carson, OF (Free Agent to Dodgers)
Chris Dickerson, OF (Free Agent to Blue Jays)
Nyjer Morgan, OF (Unsigned Free Agent)
STARTING PITCHERS
Kyle Davies, SP (Free Agent to Yankees)
RELIEF PITCHERS
Scott Barnes, RP (Trade to Orioles)
Mark Lowe, RP (Free Agent to Mariners)
J.C. Ramirez, RP (Free Agent to Diamondbacks)
Matt Capps, RP (Free Agent to Braves)
Winter Headlines:  
After 2013 success Francona and crew take steps back.
What to Expect?:
With Kansas City and Detroit at the top and Minnesota and Chicago improved, Cleveland may fall o the bottom of the division.
Why Should You Root for These Guys?:
Cleveland has not won a World Series since 1948.  Since then each of their division competitors have won at least one.
Why Might This Season Not Turn Out the Way Indians Fans Want?:
The Indians have done very little to improve their fortunes while the two teams below them have worked hard this off season.  Despite some big expectations when Francona took over this season may be a big step back.
Don't Expect Too Much From Him:
Gavin Floyd has arrived in camp and has impressed the team with his progress.  With Corey Kluber having a break out year in 2014 it would be easy to predict the 1-2 punch Cleveland expected from Kluber and Masterson but realistically Floyd is probably not enough to give the Indians a boost in the standings.
Expect Great Things From:
Lonnie Chisenhall had a breakout season in 2014 with career highs in average, Home Runs, Doubles, RBI and runs.  Expect Chisenhall to continue his strong performance and possibly represent the Tribe at the All Star Game.
Prediction: 5th in AL Central





*-Please be aware that these predictions are based on the rosters as set in the middle of March.  There are still several key free agents unsigned which could alter these previews.  Also, injuries during spring training could alter my outlook.  Don't miss the A.L. East preview of last week.  Check back next week for the AL West Preview and continue following to see my final predictions at the start of the season.


TRIVIA QUESTION:
The Orioles won the American League East in 2012 for the first time since 1997.  The Orioles actually won five of the first six AL East titles (1969, 1970, 1971, 1973 and 1974) only being knocked off by the Tigers in 1972.

They won the AL East two more times (1979 and 1983) before winning again in 1997 and 2014.

This brings the team's totals to 9.

Answer to Last Week's Trivia Question:
The Tigers have won four consecutive Division Titles in the Central.  Since the league went to a divisional format in 1969, how many division titles (AL East and AL Central combined) have the Tigers won?

Saturday, February 22, 2014

2014 American League Central Preview

***The Division Preview that follows is not betting advice in any way shape or form.  Please do not bet any money based in any part on these predictions.***


Detroit Tigers
Who's New?: 
CATCHERS/INFIELDERS
Ian Kinsler (2B) trade from Rangers,
Steve Lombardozi (2B) trade from Nationals,
OUTFIELDERS
Rajai Davis (OF) free agent from Blue Jays,
Ezequiel Carrera (OF) free agent from Indians
Trevor Crowe (OF) free agent from Astros
STARTING PITCHERS
None
RELIEF PITCHERS
Ian Krol (RP) trade from Nationals,
Joe Nathan (RP) free agent from Rangers,
Eduardo Sanchez (RP) free agent from Cubs,
Joba Chamberlain (RP) free agent from Yankees,
Duane Below (RP) free agent from Marlins,
Who Left?:  
CATCHER/INFIELDERS
Prince Fielder (1B) trade to Rangers,
Brayan Pena (C) free agent to Reds,
Jhonny Peralta (SS) free agent to Cardinals,
Omar Infante (2B) free agent to Royals,
Ramon Santiago (IF) free agent to Reds
OUTFIELDERS
None
STARTING PITCHERS
Doug Fister (SP) trade to Nationals,
Jair Jurrjens (SP) free agent to Orioles
RELIEF PITCHERS
Jose Veras (RP) free agent to Cubs,
Joaquin Benoit (RP) free agent to Padres,
Jose Valverde (RP) free agent to Mets
Jeremy Bonderman (RP) unsigned free agent
Octavio Dotel (RP) unsigned free agent
Winter Headlines:
Brad Ausmus replaces Leyland;
Scherzer wins Cy Young becomes trade bait.
Cabrera wins second straight MVP,
Fielder unhappy, replaced by Kinsler.
What to Expect?:
The Tigers were clearly the dominant team in this division.  There has been little competition for the division lead over the last few years (although the White Sox did put up a great fight in 2012).  Yet, for some reason, they don't seem to be able to take that final step.  Last year was unfortunate.  Miguel Cabrera suffered through injuries which slowed him in the post season and Prince Fielder appeared to be pressing to create the offense that Cabrera could not create.  The result was another disappointing end to the season.  Jim Leyland is gone as are Fielder, Omar Infante and Doug Fister.  Justin Verlander injured a core muscle in offseason workouts and required surgery.  With new leadership and Joe Nathan at closer, expect the Tigers to contend yet again but there are some serious concerns with this team starting with the rotation, which has been the foundation of this current run of success.  With Fister gone and Verlander dealing with a potential health issue Scherzer has more pressure than ever to be the team ace.  Verlander is said to be ahead of schedule in recovery but he could be pushing himself to return knowing how close this team is and how important his presence is.  There is a potential that this could turn into a nagging injury.  Any further health issues in the rotation could lead this team to have some major issues.
Why Should You Root for These Guys?:
This team has been amazingly close over the last 8 years.  Some of these players, like Verlander, have been with the Tigers organization through some painful losses.  It would be nice to see this group finally get over the hump.
Why Might This Season Not Turn Out the Way Tigers Fans Want?:
The problems entering this year appear to be the same problems they had last year (and a few extra).  The bullpen is much improved but there are always questions about how long Joe Nathan can last.  Left field is still questionable with Andy Dirks and Rajai Davis.  Catcher is still a question with Alex Avila and the loss of Brayan Pena makes Avila the only option.  Verlander may not be ready for opening day after severely injuring an abdominal muscle and by trading Fister, the Tigers severely lost pitching depth.  There are questions about how Ausmus will impact the team as the new manager.  So although they are still the favorite in this division they have some serious questions and don't be shocked if Kansas City challenges them for the division lead.
Don't Expect Too Much From Him:
Joe Nathan is a very good pitcher and has been for a long time starting with the Twins, followed by  time with the Rangers.  He has had several arm surgeries and had some tough periods over the last few years.  That being said, Nathan has had more good times than bad in his career.  You can expect Nathan to improve what was the Tigers' biggest issue last year, however, don't expect him to be a miracle cure.
Expect Great Things From:
Miguel Cabrera is a special player.  Even with serious nagging injuries last season he was able to contend for the triple crown and lead the Tigers to the brink of a World Series.  Cabrera is one of those players that comes along once in a generation.  At this point in his career he is clearly the top player in the league.
Is This His Last Chance?:
Torii Hunter will turn 39 near the All Star Break.  Hunter is one of the great ambassadors of the game.  He is one of the good guys and one of the most respected players in the game.  Since 1997 Hunter has given his all in every game he has played and has impacted the community in Minnesota, Anaheim and now Detroit.  He has been one of the best players in the league and has accomplished nearly everything in his career except win a World Series.  As the Tigers continue to try to take that final step the question always remains the same: how quickly will the window close on the Tigers and can they win it before Hunter walks away?
Prediction: 1st in AL Central





Kansas City Royals:
Who's New:  
CATCHERS/INFIELDERS
Brandon Laird (IF) free agent from Astros,
Ramon Hernandez (C) free agent from Blue Jays
Omar Infante (2B) free agent from Tigers, 
OUTFIELDERS
Norichika Aoki (OF) trade from Brewers, 
Melky Mesa (OF) free agent from Yankees,
Carlos Peguero (OF) trade from Mariners
STARTING PITCHERS
John Rauch (SP) free agent from Orioles
Jason Vargas (SP) free agent from Angels,
RELIEF PITCHERS
P.J. Walters (RP) free agent from Twins,
Chris Resop (RP) free agent from Athletics
Who Left:  
CATCHERS/INFIELDERS
George Kottaras (C) traded to Cubs,
Irving Falu (SS) free agent to Brewers,
Jamey Carroll (3B) free agent to Nationals
Chris Getz (2B) free agent to Blue Jays
Carlos Pena (1B) free agent to Angels
Miguel Tejada (SS) unsigned free agent
Emilio Bonifacio (IF) released
OUTFIELDERS
None
STARTING PITCHERS
Ervin Santana (SP) unsigned free agent
RELIEF PITCHER
Will Smith (RP) trade to Brewers,
Winter Headlines:  
Wil Meyers wins Rookie of the Year while Shields struggled.
Slow 2013 start leads to disappointment despite strong finish.
What to Expect?:
Kansas City was excited last year and if it weren't for a slow start their high hopes may have come true.  If they can get consistency from their starters and get off to a decent start the Royals may be able to finish what they started last year.  The Tigers are not the sure thing they were last year and Cleveland is not as strong pitching wise as they were last year.  Kansas City has a legitimate chance to win this division if they avoid the slow start of last year.
Why Should You Root for These Guys?:
The Royals are the opposite of the Yankees, Red Sox and Dodgers.  Kansas City has worked on building their team from the minors up.  They have home grown talent like Moustakis, Butler, Hosmer and Cain.  In an age of teams built to resemble Super Teams, it would be nice to see the teams built like the old days succeed.
Why Might This Season Not Turn Out the Way Royals Fans Want?:
As good as this team could have been last year (or the year before for that matter) they have consistently under achieved over the last few years.  They will need a full team effort to make it to the next step.
Don't Expect Too Much From Him:
Jason Vargas had a few average seasons in Seattle.  After a 14-11, 3.85 ERA 2012, Vargas got a big one year deal from Anaheim and the Angels expected the stronger offense behind him to translate into a higher win total.  It didn't.  A poor Angels team effort, a few injuries and a 9-8 record led to disappointment and Vargas's exit from town.  There will be considerably less pressure on Vargas in KC, similar to the lower expectations he experienced in Seattle, but don't expect Vargas to become an ace.
Expect Great Things From:
James Shields earned the name "Big Game James" in Tampa Bay for a reason.  He was generally acknowledged as the leader of the Rays.  He pitched well last year  and often was a hard luck loser.  His 13-9 record was deceptive as he pitched well enough to win several games he ended up losing early in the year.  If Shields is able to win the close games he lost last year, the Royals can likely punch their post season tickets.
Prediction: 2nd place in AL Central.  AL Wild Card



Cleveland Indians:
Who's New:  
CATCHERS/INFIELDERS
David Adams (IF) free agent from Yankees,
Elliott Johnson (IF) free agent from Braves
OUTFIELDERS
David Murphy (OF) free agent from Rangers,
Jeff Francoeur (OF) free agent from Giants
STARTING PITCHERS
Shaun Marcum (SP) free agent from Mets,
Aaron Harang (SP) free agent from Mets
RELIEF PITCHERS
Colt Hynes (RP) trade from Padres,
J.C. Ramirez (RP) free agent from Phillies,
Mike Zagurski (RP) free agent from Yankees,
John Axford (RP) free agent from Cardinals,
Josh Outman (RP) trade from Rockies
David Aardsma (RP) free agent from Yankees
Scott Atchison (RP) free agent from Mets
Who Left: 
CATCHERS/INFIELDERS
Lou Marson (C) free agent to Phillies,
Omir Santos (C) free agent to Pirates
Kelly Shoppach (C) unsigned free agent
OUTFIELDERS
Drew Stubbs (OF) trade to Rockies,
Jason Kubel (OF) free agent to Twins,
Ezequiel Carrera  (OF) free agent to Tigers
STARTING PITCHERS
Scott Kazmir (SP) free agent to A's,
Ubaldo Jimenez (SP) free agent to Orioles
RELIEF PITCHERS
Joe Smith (RP) free agent to Angels,
Matt Albers (RP) free agent to Houston,
Chris Perez (RP) free agent to Dodgers,
Clay Repada (RP) free agent to Angels
Brett Myers (RP) realeased
Rich Hill (RP) free agent to Red Sox
Winter Headlines:  
Francona wins Manager of the Year over Farrell.
Carlos Santana rumored to move to third, oddly all back up catchers sign elsewhere
Masterson masterful, Jimenez and Kazmir leave the reservation
What to Expect?:
Terry Francona is clearly one of the best managers of this generation.  He took a Philadelphia Phillies team that was short on talent to the brink of a division title in 2001. He took the Red Sox from the lovable losers to the dominant team in the league. He took the Cleveland Indians from a struggling, underachieving team to a playoff berth in one year.  The Indians have lost some talent but expect Francona to have this team fighting for a playoff spot.  The problem is there may not be enough pitching here to get the success they saw last year.
Why Should You Root for These Guys?:
Over this offseason I have had the opportunity to watch some old games available on line.  Two of the games I have watched were Game 6 of the 1995 World Series and Game 7 of the 1997 World Series.  In both games, Cleveland's hopes were crushed when it appeared that they were on the brink of success.  In 2007 the Indians led the Red Sox three games to one in the ALCS when the Red Sox made a miraculous come back.  The Indians history (with the exception of 1920 and 1948) is one of near misses.  It would be nice to see the tribe come out on top after years of close calls.
Why Might This Season Not Turn Out the Way Indians Fans Want?:
The Indians were able to win despite a shaky pitching staff for most of the year.  Justin Masterson was spectacular but Jimenez was inconsistent and there was little behind them.  The Indians have lost Scott Kazmir to the A's and Jimenez to the Orioles and have no one at this point to replace them.  The starting rotation could be the achilles heel.
Don't Expect Too Much From Him:
David Murphy was a strong signing by the Indians. He is a good outfielder and should fit in nicely in their lineup.  He could be a nice complement to Michael Bourn at the top of the lineup but his power numbers are not eye popping and his average is usually in the mid .200's. Murphy is a good player but don't expect him to be the piece that puts Cleveland over the top.
Expect Great Things From:
Asdrubal Cabrerra had an off season last year but he is one of the more under rated Shortstops in the league. Cabrerra's numbers were down but he still contributed greatly to the success of the team.  Expect Cabrera to have a bounce back year and help this team stay in contention.
Is This His Last Chance?:
The Indians took a chance in signing John Axford.  Although he had a decent end to the season with the Cardinals, Axford has not been the same pitcher he was when he helped the Brewers reach the NLCS.  If he does not find a way to regain that effectiveness he may not have another chance to close.
Prediction:3rd in AL Central





Minnesota Twins:
Who's New:  
CATCHERS/INFIELDERS
Kurt Suzuki (C) free agent from Athletics
OUTFIELDERS
Jason Kubel (OF) free agent from Indians,
STARTING PITCHERS
Rickey Nolasco (SP) free agent from Dodgers,
Phil Hughes (SP) free agent from Yankees,
Kris Johnson (SP) trade from Pirates
RELIEF PITCHERS
Matt Guerier (RP) free agent from Cubs
Who Left:  
CATCHERS/INFIELDERS
OUTFIELDERS
Clete Thomas (OF) free agent to to Phillies,
STARTING PITCHERS
Liam Hendricks (SP) waiver claim by Cubs,
RELIEF PITCHERS
Cody Eppley (RP) free agent to Pirates,
Pedro Hernandez (RP) free agent to Rockies,
P.J. Walters (RP) free agent to Royals,
Duke Welker (RP) traded to Pirates
Winter Headlines: 
Joe Mauer moves to 1B
Pitching staff completely rebuilt
What to Expect?:
Twins fans certainly should expect improvement.  For one thing the rotation is set this year, while last year it was up in the air from day one.  Improvement and a vision for the future are the keys for this Twins team. A playoff berth is probably a very long shot but a third place finish and a winning record is probably a better goal.
Why Should You Root for These Guys?:
There's an old saying that class shows.  The Twins certainly fit that saying.  This organization, dating back to their days in Washington, have always had a classy reputation.  If nothing else you can look at the key players in franchise history: Killebrew, Puckett, Viola, Kaat, Grant, Mauer and Mourneau.  Or you can look at the two men who have led this team for the last 30 years: Kelly and Gardenhire.  I am not a Twins fan but with the class that this organization always displays it is hard to root against them.
Why Might This Season Not Turn Out the Way Twins Fans Want?:
The Twins have certainly done what they can to add veteran leadership to the pitching rotation with Hughes and Nolasco to join Pelfrey.  The Twins are certainly an improved team but with Cleveland, Kansas City and Detroit in this division it would be hard to imagine the Twins finishing in a playoff spot this year.  This team has a very strong farm system with many players a few years away from contributing.  This could be a strong team in the future, but this year would be a surprise.
Don't Expect Too Much From Him:
Phil Hughes has played with some legends in New York and the expectations for Hughes when he came to the big leagues were tremendous.  He has not lived up to the expectations, likely because the expectations were unfairly high.  Hughes is a very good pitcher but he had a terrible 2013 (4-14, 5.19 ERA) and he is certainly better than that.  Expect Hughes to help improve the Twins staff but don't expect 20 wins..
Expect Great Things From:
Joe Mauer is the face of this franchise and has been for several years.  If you had to choose a Mount Rushmore of Minnesota Twins it would probably be Harmon Killebrew, Kirby Puckett, Jim Kaat and Joe Mauer.  Mauer will be moving to first base this season to avoid the daily pounding his body takes when catching.  Expect the health benefits to help translate into better offensive numbers.
Is This His Last Chance?:
Similar to Phil Hughes, Mike Pelfrey had high expectations when he joined the Mets in 2006.  The Mets were a strong playoff contender at the time and it was hoped he would develop into the new ace.  Instead he has struggled.  A big part of his struggles have to do with the poor teams he has played with but there is only so much blame you can shift for 7-13 and 5-13 seasons.  Pelfrey certainly has an opportunity to be the leader of this team but he may not have many chances left to prove he can do it.
Prediction:4th place in AL Central




Chicago White Sox
Free Agents:  Ramon Truncoso (RP).
Who's New: 
CATCHERS/INFIELDERS
Jose Abreu (1B) free agent,
Alex Liddi (1B) free agent from Orioles,
OUTFIELDERS
Adam Eaton (OF) trade from Diamondbacks,
Matt Davidson (OF) trade from Diamondbacks,
STARTING PITCHERS
RELIEF PITCHERS
Jairo Ascencio (RP) free agent from Orioles,
Zach Putnam (RP) free agent from Cubs,
Ronald Belisario (RP) free agent from Dodgers,
Scott Downs (RP) free agent from Braves
Mitchell Boggs (RP) free agent from Rockies
Who Left: 
CATCHERS/INFIELDERS
Travis Ishikawa (1B) free agent to Pirates,
Angel Sanchez (IF) released
Bryan Anderson (C) free agent to Reds
OUTFIELDERS
Addison Reed (OF) trade from Diamondbacks,
Dewayne Wise (OF) released
STARTING PITCHERS
Hector Santiago (SP) trade to Angels, 
Gavin Floyd (SP) free agent to Braves, 
RELIEF PITCHERS
Ramon Truoncoso (RP) unsigned free agent
Winter Headlines:  
The Big Hurt gets a big honor (Frank Thomas voted into the Hall of Fame)
What to Expect?:
It is hard to believe that this team was in first place for the greater part of the 2012 season.  Clearly the loss of Jake Peavey and A.J. Pierszynski and the under achievement of Alex Rios hurt this team last year.  They certainly are a better team by adding Adam Eaton and Jose Abreu but don't expect  this team to contend this season.
Why Should You Root for These Guys?:
Paul Konerko and Adam Dunn are veterans nearing the end of their career.  Each has made major contributions to the White Sox organization and although Konerko won a title with the 2005 White Sox, Dunn is still looking for his first ring.
Why Might This Season Not Turn Out the Way White Sox Fans Want?:
This team just doesn't have the pitching to compete in this division.  There were few improvements made to a bad team from last year while even the Twins looked to improve their staff.  This could be a very long season and may lead to a major shift in identity for the team.  This could be the last year for Dunn and Konerko.
Don't Expect Too Much From Him:
Adam Eaton came to the White Sox in a trade with the Diamondbacks.  Eaton has tremendous talent and a lot was expected from him in Arizona.  The problem is that the talent level around him in Chicago is much less than in Arizona.  He won't have the support with the White Sox that he would have enjoyed with the Diamondbacks.
Expect Great Things From:
Chris Sale is the clear ace of this team.  In fact, on most teams he would be the ace.  Although his 11-14 record was more a reflection on the team behind him, Sale had a tremendous year.  Expect Sale to continue his growth with a better season and better record.
Is This His Last Chance?:
Adam Dunn and Paul Konerko are nearing the end of their careers.  Konerko considered retirement but decided to come back for at least one more year.  At some point the Sox will need to build a new identity without Dunn and Konerko.  Sox fans should enjoy the ride while it lasts.
Prediction:5th Place in AL Central.

*-Please be aware that these predictions are based on the rosters as set in the middle of February.  There are still several key free agents unsigned which could alter these previews.  Also, injuries during spring training could alter my outlook.  Don't miss the A.L. East preview of last week.  Check back next week for the AL West Preview and continue following to see my final predictions at the start of the season.


TRIVIA QUESTION:
Major League Baseball went to the three divisional format in 1994.  Since that time the teams in the American League Central have changed slightly after expansion and realignment.  What teams have played in the American League Central?

Answer to Last Week's Trivia Question:
Major League Baseball created the American League East in 1969.  The first team from the division to win the World Series was the Orioles in 1970.  They would also win the World Series in 1983.  (That makes 2).  The Red Sox have won the World Series twice (2004 and 2007) bringing the total to 4.  The Blue Jays won back to back World Series titles in 1992 and 1993 bringing the total to 6.  The Tigers won the 1984 World Series as a member of the AL East raising the number to 7.  The Yankees have won the most World Series coming out of this division.  The pinstripes won the 1977, 1978, 1996, 1998, 1999, 2000 and 2009 World Series as a member of the division doubling the number to 14 for the total answer.

Saturday, March 2, 2013

American League Central Preview


***The Division Preview that follows is not betting advice in any way shape or form.  Please do not bet any money based in any part on these predictions.***

Since the American League Central took on the current format (in 1998 the Brewers moved to the National League and the Tigers moved into the Central) every team has won the division with the exception of the Royals.  The Indians were the early dominant team winning the division in 1998, 1999, 2001 and 2007.  The White Sox took the division in 2000, 2005 and 2008.  The Twins have quietly been the dominant team in the central over the last ten years, winning the division in 2002, 2003, 2004, 2006, 2009 and 2010.  The Tigers won it in 2011 and 2012.  The Royals have never won the central division. 

Compared to other divisions the central has been relatively competitive with nearly every team spending time at the top, middle and bottom.  Although the Twins finished first six times, they have also finished last several times.  Detroit has finished first two years in a row and three times over all, however, they have also suffered through one of the worst seasons in history during their time in the Central.

Detroit is the clear leader of the division this year and the Twins are clearly at the bottom.  The middle of the division should be a fun battle.  Here's how I see it playing out:
Detroit Tigers

Last Year's Record:
 88-74.  First Place in AL Central.
Defeated Athletics 3-2 in ALDS
Defeated Yankees 4-0 in ALCS
Lost to Giants 4-0 in World Series
Who's new?*:
Kyle Lobstein (P) promoted from minors, Melvin Mercedes (P) promoted from minors, Bruce Rondon (P) promoted from minors, Ramon Cabrera (C) trade from Pirates, Brayan Pena (C) free agent from Royals, Jeff Kobernus (2B) promoted from minors, Dixon Machado (SS) promoted from minors, Torii Hunter (OF) free agent from Angels, Victor Martinez (C/DH) return from injury.
Who left?*:
Daniel Schlereth (P) free agent to Orioles , Jose Valverde (P) unsigned free agent, Adam Wilk (P) unsigned free agent, Gerald Laird (C) free agent to Braves,  Ryan Rayburn (OF) free agent to Indians, Delmon Young (OF/DH) free agent to Phillies.
What to expect:  
The Tigers are reigning AL Champs who appear to have addressed nearly all of their major needs.  They had very few problem positions last year once they traded for Omar Infante and Anibal Sanchez from Miami at the trading deadline.  With the strong performance of Max Scherzer in the playoffs the Tigers rotation seems to be the best in the AL and by adding Torii Hunter in Centerfield they have a nearly all around perfect team. 
Why should you root for these guys?: 
The Tigers are a team strong in tradition.  From Ty Cobb to Hank Greenberg to Charlie Gehringer to Al Kaline to Mark Fidrych to Alan Trammell to Justin Verlander, the Tigers have given the history of the game some of the greatest moments, teams and characters of all time.  Tigers fans suffered through some absolutely terrible seasons (They finished with a winning percentage of less than .350 three times between 1995 and 2003, including one of the worst seasons by any team in history in 2003).  It has been almost 30 years since the Tigers won a World Series and after being swept out of the World Series twice in the last ten years it would be nice to see the Tigers fan base experience the joy of a World Series win.
Why might this season not turn out like Tigers fans want?: 
The big problem for the Tigers in the playoffs last year was the collapse of Jose Valverde.  It was nice to see Jim Leyland's loyalty to his player but heartbreaking to see Valverde fall apart each time he went out on the mound.  The Tigers have addressed nearly all of their issues in the offseason but the one big question that remains is who will emerge as the everyday closer?  Currently the depth chart shows rookie pitcher Bruce Rondon in the closer role but how long can Leyland stick with a rookie if he starts to falter?
Don't expect too much from him: 
Phil Coke took over for Jose Valverde when Valverde fell apart in the playoffs and did a great job.  He doesn't seem to be a long term closer solution but he may be forced back into the role if the rookie Rondon falters.  Coke is one of the best middle relievers in the game and is irreplaceable for the Tigers but don't expect him to challenge for the league lead in saves.
Expect great things from:
Prince Fielder has had a full year to adjust to the American League pitching and umpires.  He will be hitting behind Cabrera and ahead of Victor Martinez.  If Austin Jackson lives up to his potential, Torii Hunter performs like he did in the second half last year and Miguel Cabrera has even half the year he had last year Fielder will have plenty of opportunities to drive in runs.  Fielder had a strong year last year but expect this year to be one of his best yet.
Time for him to step up:
Austin Jackson has All Star potential and a lot is expected from him.  He had a great regular season last year, hitting .300, scoring 103 runs, and hitting 16 home runs.  He hit .353 in the ALCS but hit only .231 in the World Series.  With Torii Hunter hitting second Jackson should have a great hit and run partner and should be able to take advantage of his speed a little bit more.  Jackson has been a strong contributor the last few years.  This year he will have to become the super star the Tigers thought he would be when they traded Curtis Granderson to get him.
Is this his last chance?:
Torii Hunter is entering his 17th season.  During that time he has earned his reputation as one of the classiest, nicest, most likable, well respected players in the league.  Aside from that he has a reputation for being one of the best defensive outfielders in the game, one of the best team players and one of the most talented all around players.  Surprisingly he has only been an All Star four times in his career, yet he has won 9 Gold Glove awards,  received MVP votes in four different seasons (probably should have had more votes) and even won a Silver Slugger award.  He has done nearly everything that could be expected of a great player with the exception of getting a World Series ring.  Hunter should be a great influence in the Tigers clubhouse and if they win no one will deserve it more than Torii Hunter. 
Prediction: 
First place in AL Central.

Kansas City Royals


Last Year's Record:
72-90. 3rd in AL Central
Who's new?*:
Noel Arguellas (P) promoted from minors, Wade Davis (P) trade from Rays, Chris Dwyer (P) promoted from minors, J.C.Gutierrez (P) free agent from Diamondbacks, Donnie Joseph (P) promoted from minors, John Lamb (P) promoted from minors, Guillermo Moscoso (P) waiver claim from Rockies, Ervin Santana (P) free agent from Angels, James Shields (P) trade from Rays,George Kottaras (C) waiver claim from Athletics,  Brett Hayes (C) free agent from Marlins, Elliot Johnson (SS) trade from Rays,
Who left?*:
Roman Colon (P) unsigned free agent, Tommy Hottovy (P) trade to Rangers, Jeremy Jeffress (P) contract sold to Blue Jays, Mitch Maier (P) free agent to Red Sox, Vin Mazzaro (P) trade to Pirates, Jake Odorizi (P) trade to Rays, Felipe Paulino (P), Brayan Pena (C) free agent to Tigers, Clint Robinson (OF) trade to Pirates, Jason Bourgeouis (OF) free agent to Rays.
What to expect:
Hopes are high this year in Kansas City and the Royals will need to come through.  For the first time since George Brett retired the Royals have legitimate playoff hopes and for the first time since 1990 the Royals have what can be considered a strong team.  Expect the Royals to compete for a playoff spot but they will need a lot of things to go right to actually reach their goal.
Why should you root for these guys?:
It has been far too long since the Royals actually reigned.  Starting in the late 1970's and lasting through the late 1980's the Royals were consistently in contention and then, all of a sudden, they weren't.  Since the strike year of 1994 the Royals have had a winning record once (in 2003 they were two games above .500) and 2012 marked only the 4th time since the strike they finished above fourth.  The Royals have slowly started to build a strong young team, although injuries and under achievement derailed what they hoped would be a winning 2012 season.  It is about time the Royals are crowned something other than losers.
Why might this season not turn out like Royals fans want?: 
The offense this year returns an almost identical lineup.  The lineup is exploding with potential with players like Sal Perez, Alex Gordon, Mike Moustakas, Billy Butler and Eric Hosmer. Unfortunately, they all struggled at different times last year and were never able to coordinate their attack.  The rebuilt pitching staff is very much the same situation.  Ervin Santana has shown flashes of greatness in his career but they are usually followed by long stretches of mediocrity.  Luke Hochevar was expected to be the next ace of the staff but had a tough season in 2012.  If the potential can be realized simultaneously the Royals can likely challenge for a playoff spot.  It will be tough to overcome the culture of losing that has pervaded this franchise for the last 20 years but they have the talent to do it.
Don't expect too much from him: 
James Shields is a great pitcher and was a great number two starter following David Price in Tampa Bay even earning the name "big game James".  Shields was a big leader in Tampa Bay and his leadership will be missed there.  He has steadily improved in his career even winning 16 games in 2011.  Royals fans should expect him to be the clear ace of the staff, however, don't expect him to win the Cy Young award or sniff 20 wins.  Expect him to be a leader in the clubhouse and help bring the fighting attitude that helped Tampa Bay turn from a bottom dweller to a consistent contender.
Expect great things from:
Billy Butler continues to improve every year and seemingly has no limit to the heights he could reach.  He was deservedly the All Star representative for the Royals in 2012 as Kansas City hosted the midsummer classic.  He reached career highs in Home Runs and RBI and hit above .300 for the third time in his short career.  Butler does not get the national attention he deserves but if he continues to improve the Royals should stay in the fight late into the summer.
Time for him to step up:
Eric Hosmer finished third in the Rookie of the Year voting in 2011 but fell off dramatically last season.  He saw declines in every traditionally major offensive category including a fall in the batting average from .293 to .232.  Another player with seemingly limitless potential.  He will need to play more like his rookie years if the Royals are to improve as expected.
Is this his last chance?
Ervin Santana was expected to be the second half of the Angels' great young one-two punch with Jared Weaver.  Weaver has become one of the top pitchers in the game.  Santana turned into a frustration to Angels fans as one day he appeared capable of no hitting the Yankees while in his next start he would be knocked around by a  last place team.  Santana will need to prove that he can be consistent if he is going to continue as a starter in the league.
Prediction: 
2nd place in AL Central.  First Wild Card.


Cleveland Indians

Last Year's Record:
68-94. 4th place in AL Central
Who's new?*:
Matt Albers (P) free agent from Red Sox, Trevor Bauer (P) trade from Diamondbacks, Carlos Carrasco (P) promoted from minor leagues, Trey Haley (P) promoted from minor leagues, T.J. House (P) promoted from minors, Chen-Chang Lee (P) promoted from minors, Brett Myers (P) free agent from White Sox, Danny Salazar (P) promoted from minors,  Bryan Shaw (P) trade from Diamondbacks, Blake Wood (P) waiver claim from Royals, Mike Aviles (UT) from Blue Jays, Yan Gomes (3B) promoted from minors, Mike McDade (1B) waiver claim from Blue Jays, Mike McGuiness (1B) promoted from minors, Mark Reynolds (1B) free agent from Orioles, Nick Swisher (OF) free agent from Yankees, Michael Bourn (OF) free agent from Braves, Tim Fedroff (OF) promoted from minors, Drew Stubbs (OF) trade from Reds
Who left?*:
Jeanmar Gomez (P) trade to Pirates, Tony Sipp (P) trade to Diamondbacks, Esmil Rogers (P) trade to Blue Jays, Chris Seddon (P) unsigned free agent, Jairo Ascencio (P) unsigned free agent, Roberto Hernandez (AKA Fausto Carmona) (P) free agent to Rays, Dan Wheeler (P) free agent to Royals, Rafael Perez (P) free agent to Twins, Scott Maine (P) claimed off waivers by Blue Jays, Luke Carlin (C) free agent to Angels, Casey Kotchman (1B) free agent to Marlins, Jack Hanahan (3B) free agent to Reds, Shelley Duncan (OF) free agent to Rays, Shin Soo Choo (OF) trade to Reds, Travis Hafner (DH) free agent to Yankees, Jason Donald (UT) trade to Reds, Brent Lillibridge (IF) free agent to Cubs, Aaron Cunningham (LF) free agent to Rangers, Russ Canzler (UT) waiver claim to Orioles, Vinny Rottino (UT) unsigned free agent, Thomas Neal (OF) free agent to Yankees.
What to expect: 
The Indians are improved.  They have a strong core of players with Carlos Santana, Asdrubal Cabrera and Justin Masterson.  They added some strong experienced players from playoff teams in Drew Stubbs, Nick Swisher, Mark Reynolds, Michael Bourn and Brett Myers.  Tony Francona is starting to build a strong team but it will still be a few years until they are ready.  This year will be a way for the young players to learn how to win consistently and create a tradition of winning in the organization.
Why should you root for these guys?: 
Cleveland sports fans have had little to cheer for in the last 10 years.  The Browns, Cavaliers and the Indians have all been poor for most of that time.  The few times any Cleveland sport team did show some life they teased the fans by getting frustratingly close before collapsing.  The Indians have not won a World Series since 1948 and have only reached the World Series three times (1954, 1995 and 1997) since then.  Indians fans have suffered long enough. 
Why might this season not turn out like Indians fans want?: 
Justin Masterson should be a strong young ace for the staff. Past Masterson there are plenty of questions surrounding the rotation.  Ubaldo Jimenez was on his way to one of the great pitching seasons in history in the first half of 2010 but somehow couldn't win a game in the second half and has not been quite the same since.  The last few years Cleveland has started fast but faded in mid-season.  They will need a season or two to allow Francona to instill the winning attitude he brought to Philadelphia and Boston.
Don't expect too much from him: 
Nick Swisher has had a strong career and contributed greatly to the Yankees teams of the last four years but his contributions came as a role player while Jeter, Rodriguez, Cano and Texeira were the stars.  Swisher will likely give the Tribe 25-30 Home Runs, score 85-90 Runs and drive in about 85-90.  He will certainly be looked at as a leader but won't emerge into an MVP candidate.
Expect great things from:
Justin Masterson has won in the double digits in games in both of the last two years.  He has All Star potential and is expected to be an ace for years to come.  With a decent team behind him, expect his development to to continue and his numbers to improve greatly.
Time for him to step up:
Drew Stubbs played Centerfield for the Reds for the last few years.  2010 showed that he could be a 30/30 candidate but his numbers have not been as impressive since.  His strikeouts are high (204 in 2011) and his walks are low (42 in 2012) for a leadoff hitter.  If he is able to get on base and create havoc as Dusty Baker expected him to do for the Reds, the Indians may be contenders for a wild card.
Is this his last chance?:
Brett Myers is a strong veteran talent and has been a positive influence everywhere he has played in his career.  He was willing to move back and forth from the starting rotation to the bullpen and back again and has been a strong performer in every opportunity.  Injuries have slowed him down but a reunion with Terry Francona (Francona managed him in Philadelphia) may be what he needs to restart his career.
Prediction:  3rd in AL Central

Chicago White Sox

Last Year's Record:
85-77. 2nd Place in AL Central
Who's new?*:
Simon Castro (P) promoted from minors, Charles Leesman (P) promoted from minors, Matt Lindstrom (P) free agent from Orioles, Nestor Molina (P) promoted from minors, Andre Rienzo (P) promoted from minors, Santos Rodriguez (P) promoted from minors, Josh Phegley (C) promoted from minors, Lars Anderson (1B) waiver claim from Diamondbacks, Angel Sanchez (SS) Rule 5 Draft Pick from Astros, Jared Mitchell (OF) promoted from minors, Blake Tekotte (OF) trade from Padres
Who left?*:
Philip Humber (P) waiver claim by Astros, Francisco Liriano (P) free agent to Pirates, Brett Myers (P) free agent to Indians, A.J. Pierzynski (C) free agent to Rangers, Kevin Youkilis (3B) free agent to Yankees, Orlando Hudson (IF) unsigned free agent, Jose Lopez (IF) free agent to Japan, Dan Johnson (OF) free agent to Yankees, Ray Olmedo (IF) free agent to Twins.
What to expect: 
The White Sox were expected to finish last in the Central in 2012 but as the season reached the last few weeks of the regular season, the Pale Hose seemed to have the division wrapped up.  Then the Tigers clawed their way back and tore holes in the Sox.  In the offseason they lost some great players in Pierzynski and Youkilis and failed to replace them.  Pierzynski was the biggest loss and his handling of the pitching staff will be missed.
Why should you root for these guys?: 
Chicago fans have had so little to cheer for over the last 100 years.  The White Sox and Cubs have played a combined 192 seasons since the White Sox won the 1917 World Series.  Since then (the White Sox previous World Series victory) the city of Chicago has won only a single World Series (2005 World Series).  This White Sox team was in position to win the division even into the last two weeks of the season.  There were few people who believed they would finish above last place in 2012 but they were a legitimate contender.  With likable long time players like Paul Konerko, Alexei Ramirez and Adam Dunn as well as their young ace Chris Sale, it would be nice to see this team finish what they started last year.
Why might this season not turn out like White Sox fans want?: 
The White Sox were nearly division champs based on the high level of play they got from Pierzynski, Dunn and Chris Sale.  Pierzynski is gone and it will be tough for Sale and Dunn to reproduce the high numbers they achieved and will likely have lesser (though still good) numbers.  On top of that Kansas City, Detroit and Cleveland have done a lot to address their needs.  It may be time for the White Sox to look at rebuilding.
Don't expect too much from him:
Adam Dunn had a great season as comeback player of the year but it would be hard for him to duplicate the numbers he created last year.  With fewer strong bats in the lineup he will likely see fewer pitches to hit and will have to take advantage of the few good ones he does see.
Expect great things from:
Paul Konerko has been a big star for the White Sox for a long time now.  He is entering his 15th season in Chicago and we can only hope that White Sox fans appreciate what they have.  Konerko is the clear leader on the White Sox's  first sustained run of playoff contending teams since the Black Sox scandal in 1919.  Konerko's numbers were down slightly in 2012 but he was still an All Star and most players would gladly take his "off year".  Expect Konerko to bounce back strong and continue to provide memories for the White Sox fans.
Time for him to step up:
Tyler Flowers has some big Sox to fill.  For the last 8 years A.J. Pierzynski has been the fighting spirit and the lightning rod of the White Sox.  When the team was falling into a funk you could bet that A.J. would do something to get the team's attention.  He was a key player in the team's 2005 World Series victory and it is hard to overestimate how much his attitude and drive helped this team overachieve last year.  Tyler Flowers has played a total of 108 games over the last four seasons as Pierzynski' backup and has hit only .205 with just 12 Home Runs in that time.  Flowers will need to step up and learn quickly how to handle the pitching staff.  If he can do it Chicago will be better off than expected.
Is this his last chance?:
Jake Peavey was one of the top pitchers in the National League from 2004 to 2007 and was the ace of the Padres pitching staff until arm problems slowed his progress.  He tried several times to come back and continued to have issues.  The Padres tried everything they could to avoid giving up on him but eventually they had to move his high salary and the White Sox took a chance.  He went 3-0 in his first few starts in Chicago but again experienced arm problems.  That was followed by a 7-6 2010 and a 7-7 2011.  When he got off to a quick start last season it was greatly hoped that he was over the hump but a tough second half left him with just an 11-12 record.  He is under contract until 2015 but he will need to have a big 2013 and 2014 to achieve the option in his contract.
Prediction: 
4th place in AL Central

Minnesota Twins

Last Year's Record:
66-96.  5th Place (last) in AL Central
Who's new?*: Kevin Correia (P) free agent from Pirates, Brett Hermsen (P) promoted from minors, Pedro Hernandez (P) trade from White Sox, Trevor May (P) from Phillies, Mike Pelfrey (P) free agent from Mets, Ryan Pressley (P) promoted from minors, Josh Roenicke (P) waivers claim from Rockies, Caleb Theilbar (P) promoted from minors, Michael Tonkin (P) promoted from minors, Tim Wood (P) free agent from Pirates, Vance Worley (P) trade from Phillies, Josmil Pinto (C) promoted from minors, Danny Santana (SS) promoted from minors, Oswaldo Arcia (OF) promoted from minors, Joe Benson (OF) promoted from minors, Aaron Hicks (OF) promoted from minors.
Who left?*:  Jeff Gray (P) free agent to White Sox, Carl Pavano (P) unsigned free agent, Matt Capps(P) free agent to Indians, Kyle Waldrop (P) free agent to Pirates, Matt Maloney (P) unsigned free agent, Alexi Casilla (2B) claimed off waivers by Orioles, Luke Hughes (1B) unsigned free agent, Denard Span (OF) trade to Nationals, Ben Revere (OF) trade to Phillies, Matt Carson (OF) free agent to Indians.
What to expect: 
Twins fans should expect this to be a tough season that they can hopefully look back on in a few years as the start of a successful rebuilding process.  The team picked up a potentially strong player in Vance Worley, but they gave up several strong players in Matt Capps, Alexi Casilla, Denard Span and Ben Revere. 
Why should you root for these guys?: 
The Twins have been one of the most used examples of the "small market" team since that term became fashionable in the late 1990's.  At one point there were discussions of reducing the number of teams in the league and the Twins were one of the teams said to be under consideration as a team that would no longer exist.  Since that talk started  the Twins became consistent playoff contenders until last year.  It may be a few years before they contend again but it is always nice to see the small market teams competitive.
Why might this season not turn out like Twins fans want?: 
The Twins have some absolute stars in Justin Morneau and Joe Mauer and some great role players in Josh Willingham and Jamey Carroll but they do not have enough talent to compete for the top of the division or a wild card spot. The biggest issue is the pitching rotation. Scott Diamond is listed on the team's depth chart as their number one starter but he had surgery to remove bone chips this offseason and has just started his throwing program this week.  He is a very talented pitcher but realistically would be a number three starter on most staffs.  Past the number one spot of the rotation the Twins have little pitching depth and will likely struggle this year.
Don't expect too much from him: 
Justin Mourneau is a big reason the Twins have been contenders for the last decade but injuries, particularly a concussion he sustained in 2010, have plagued him over the last few years.  He has said that this is the first normal offseason he has had in years and that he is past the injuries.  Expect him to be a big contributor to the Twins and a strong leader in the clubhouse but don't anticipate him putting up the MVP numbers he did prior to the concussion.
Expect great things from:
Joe Mauer is a freak  A Catcher that can consistently hit, not just for power.  He can flat out hit the ball.  A Catcher that hits .300 is not normal.  A Catcher that wins batting titles is a freak. Mauer is the face of the Twins franchise and they couldn't have chosen a better, classier person to represent the team.  Mauer's numbers this year may not be enough to keep the Twins in the race but his presence will continue the great history of the Twins tradition.
Time for him to step up:
Vance Worley had a great 2011 season for the Phillies.  He managed to make a major impact in a rotation that was considered to be one of the greatest of all time.  As Lee, Hamels, Halladay and Oswalt dominated the league, Worley went 11-3 as a rookie fifth starter.  In a frustrating season for Phillies fans Worley went 16-9 and his ERA rose to 4.20.  With Diamond possibly still recovering from surgery Worley will need to establish himself as the ace of the staff.  Although the first few starts in Spring Training are not always the best indicator, Worley has not looked like his 2011 self.
Is this his last chance?: 
Mike Pelfrey was expected to blossom in the Mets rotation when he was promoted from the minors in 2006.  He improved gradually and had a strong 2010 (15-9).  He fell off to 7-13 in 2011 and pitched in only 3 games in 2012.  With his talent it likely will not be his last chance in the majors but it may be his last chance as a starter.
Prediction: 
5th place in AL Central.

*-All roster changes are based on active rosters at the end of 2012 and active rosters as of the week of 2/18.  Teams may have non-roster invitees in camp who are not listed in the "Who's New?" category.

Saturday, November 3, 2012

Greatest World Series Moments: Greatest Game Ever Part 2

"Into deep centerfield for Mitchell...and we'll see you tomorrow night!"

Jack Buck made the now famous call as Kirby Puckett blasted a walk off home run in the 11th inning of Game 6 of the 1991 World Series.  Buck had made some of the most famous home run calls in history.  He had told St.Louis fans to go crazy when Ozzie Smith hit a game winning LCS home run.  As Kirk Gibson struggled around the bases he told the world that he couldn't believe what he just saw.  The Metrodome was deafening with shouts of "Kirby! Kirby! Kirby!".  It was the first time a World Series game ended on a home run since Carlton Fisk hit his famous Game 6 home run in 1975.

Regardless of what happened in Game 7, this could hardly be called anything but the greatest World Series of all time.
  • Two of the first six games were decided in extra innings.
  • Nearly every game had a controversial play.
  • Tempers flared on several occasions as players collided at the plate, tangled on the base path and disputed umpire decisions.
  • With the exception of the Game 5 14-5 blowout, every game was decided by 3 runs or less, 4 of them by one run.
  • 4 games were decided on the last at bat (and another was decided with a tie breaking bottom 8th inning run by the Twins).
  • Both teams could be considered underdogs.  It was the first time in history a team had jumped from last place the previous season and reached first place.  Both of these teams had done it in the same year!

(Dan Gladden collided with Greg Olson at the plate early in the series.  One of many plays that caused tempers to flare.  Gladden would play a big role in Game 7)
 
If Game 6 had ended this World Series it would have been impossible for anyone to be disappointed, yet, if it had ended after Game 6 we never would have seen the greatest World Series game ever played.

(Kirby Puckett, seen here making a game saving catch in Game 6, carried the Twins to a season saving Game 6 win.  In one of the greatest World Series of all time Game 6 was a close second to Game 7 for the best game of the Series).
 
This series was a convergence of the World Series past and the World Series future.  The Braves were a young team but they had plenty of players who had played in a World Series before: Terry Pendleton (1985 and 1987 Cardinals), Lonnie Smith (1980 Phillies, 1982 Cardinal, 1985 Royals), Charlie Leibrandt (1985 Royals).  The Twins had much more experience in the World Series: Brian Harper (1985 Cardinals) Kent Hrbek, Greg Gagne and Kirby Puckett (1987 Twins), Jack Morris (1984 Tigers).

There were also players on both teams who were young, inexperienced and with a bright future.  The list of names would tell the story of the World Series for the next ten years:  John Smoltz, Tom Glavine, Steve Avery, David Justice, Ron Gant, Mark Lemke, Chuck Knoblauch, Chilli Davis.

(In game 2 controversy erupted as Ron Gant was called out.  On a play at first Gant's momentum seemed to pull him off the bag as Hrbek kept the tag on Gant's leg.  Replays are hard to tell but Gant has always argued that Hrbek Pulled him off the bag.)


The series also made clear the impact of free agency on the league.  Trying to draw a family tree to connect all of these people would look like a spider web.  For example, Lonnie Smith had played with Terry Pendleton as a Cardinal, then played against Pendleton as a Royal in 1985 and now played with Pendleton again as a Brave.  Similarly, Brian Harper had played with Lonnie Smith and Pendleton as a Cardinal, then played against Smith in the 1985 World Series and now played against both as Braves. 

The connections like these were endless but no two players were more connected than the two starting pitchers.  John Smoltz was born and raised in Detroit as a Tigers fan.  If you were a pitcher in Detroit at that time there was no one you idolized more than Jack Morris.  Smoltz's childhood dream came true when he was drafted by the Tigers in 1985.  Unfortunately for Smoltz, he was traded before he had a chance to pitch with his idol.  On August 12, 1987 he was traded to the Braves for Pitcher Doyle Alexander.

(John Smoltz grew up in Detroit idolizing Jack Morris.  He wanted nothing more than to pitch with Morris as a Tiger.  He was traded to the Braves in 1987.  In the greatest game ever played Smoltz got to face off against his childhood idol.)


Jack Morris grew up in the Minneapolis area.  He had pitched for the Detroit Tigers his entire career.  But being a free agent and less than impressed with the offer from Detroit, Jack Morris came home.  Morris was the winningest pitcher in the decade of the 1980's, won a World Series title for the Tigers in 1984, threw a no-hitter and now he tried to bring a World Series title home. 

There was no bigger stage in the world and no better way to live out a child hood dream than to beat your idol face to face.  What we were about to watch would be passed down in history as the John Smoltz/Jack Morris show but it was anything but that.  In a World Series where excitement came from everywhere, the final game would give nearly every player on either team a chance to impact the outcome.

The game started with Lonnie Smith offering a handshake to Brian Harper as Smith stepped into the batters box.  Unbeknownst to everyone, that was the sign that this game would be different than anything you've ever seen.  Jack Buck compared it to two heavyweights shaking hands before they beat each others brains in.  If Buck only knew what a good comparison it would be...

Both teams went easily in the first, although Morris was less than happy with the balls and strikes being called by the home plate umpire.  In the first few innings Morris would continually stare in at the plate after close pitches were called balls.  Morris was pitching masterfully but that doesn't mean Atlanta didn't have chances to score.  In the second Dave Justice reached second but was stranded there.  Atlanta left 2 on in the third and and another in the 4th.  Jack Buck reminded everyone that "you only get so many chances."

Smoltz had the same success.  The Twins had two runners on in the third and couldn't score.  Dan Gladden led off the third with a double but  could not score.  In the 4th Kent Hrbek, who seemed to always be around the controversy in this series, was told by the umpire that he was hit by a pitch.  It was not hard, it may have grazed his forearm.  Hrbek hadn't reacted but the umpire told him to get down to firstbase. Hrbek wouldn't argue but Bobby Cox, the Braves manager, loved to argue everything.  He came out and berated the home plate umpire to no avail.  It didn't matter anyways, Hrbek never moved past first.  The game was almost half over and no one had scored. 

A playoff game that remains tied through the first three innings begins to increase in intensity as each at bat comes and goes.  In a Game 7 of a playoff series the emotions are amplified.  In Game 7 of a World Series the emotions are off the chart. Some players start to envision themselves as the conquering hero and stride to the plate with confidence, then walk back to the bench like everyone else.  Other players start to fight the fear that any minor mistake could lead to the big run and start to envision themselves  as the next Bill Buckner.  Fans start to inch up on the edge of their seats, rock back and forth to suppress stomach cramps, any sort of movement to momentarily calm their strained nerves.  It becomes less of a confidence of what your team will do and more a worry about what the other team will do.

They moved to the 5th scoreless.  It looked like things were starting to tip in the Atlanta's favor.  Mark Lemke, who had been a part time player for three years with the Braves and was forced into a starting role due to a late season injury to Jeff Treadway would hit .417 in the series, led off with a single and moved to second on Rafael Belliard's sacrifice bunt.  Lonnie Smith followed and seeing the Twins thirdbaseman playing back, laid down a bunt and beat out a close play.  Lemke moved up to third.  Pendleton followed this with a pop fly to shortstop.  That brought up Ron Gant, one of the young rising stars in this Atlanta lineup. He had been compared to a young Willie Mays with unlimited potential.  He hadn't had a bad series but he was 0 for his last 7.  This was his chance to put the Braves ahead.

(Mark Lemke was the unexpected hero of the Braves World Series team.  He hit .417 in the series.  He would go on to have a strong major league career but would always be remembered for his performance in this series.)

But first, on the 1-1 pitch, Morris threw a split finger fastball in the dirt.  It was a bad pitch and it was not where Harper expected it.  It hit the dirt, bounced up, hit Harper's mask and rolled out in front of the plate.  The ball was rolling slowly towards Morris, away from Harper.  Harper was undecided on whether to go out after the ball and leave the plate unguarded, or let Morris get it.  Meanwhile, Lemke, sensing the hesitation came screaming down the line.  Morris leapt off the mound and grabbed the ball, Lemke stopped, turned and ran back to third.  Morris threw the ball to Pagliarulo at third.  Pags was a veteran and few played the bag better.  He waited for the ball with one knee on the ground, blocking the bag.  Lemke launched himself, feet first, toward Pags.  Lemke and the ball arrived simultaneously.  Lemke, somehow, found the one spot left open at the bag and slid in as Pagliarulo fell over top of him showing the ball to the umpire with outstretched arms.  The Braves hadn't scored but there was still danger.  Before making another pitch Morris tried a pick off to first.  Lonnie Smith dove back on a close play but he was safe.  Two near third outs  now Morris had to face Gant.  The count went to 3-1.  Morris didn't want to walk Gant and face Justice with the bases loaded.  Gant fouled off the next pitch for a 3-2 count.  The next pitch was a fastball on the outside corner.  The umpire hesitated, just slightly, then called Gant out.  Gant dropped his bat, stared at the umpire.  Morris leapt off the mound, pumped his fist and screamed at the top of his lungs.  Still scoreless.

The bottom of the fifth and the sixth went quickly.  Kirby Puckett reached first in the sixth but any chance at a Twins rally was erased as Sid Bream, the Braves firstbaseman, turned a 3-6-3 double play (that's firstbase to shortstop to firstbase for the casual fan).  It is one of the most unusual and difficult double plays to turn.  Both pitchers were starting to hit their stride.  Morris retired 8 in a row and Smoltz cruised through the middle innings.

The stress and pressure continued to grow as the game progressed.  Someone had to score sometime.  Philosophically the game could go on infinitely if no one scored but realistically at some point some one would score.  It was impossible to believe that every time someone came close to scoring some miracle play would keep the game scoreless.  And yet...

Lonnie Smith led off the 8th with a single. Pendleton appeared to have struck out but the thirdbase ump ruled that he had fouled the ball and Harper had failed to hold onto it.  Given a second life, Pendleton, the 1991 MVP of the National League, ripped a pitch into left-center.  Smith was moving on contact and with his speed he should score easily, nothing could stop that.  1-0 Braves.  As the ball left Pendleton's bat, Jack Buck was speechless, confused for a second.  "Lonnie Smith is held at third and he didn't do very good baserunning there."  What the hell happened?  He should have been able to jog home!

As the ball left Pendleton's bat Smith lost track of the ball.  He knew it was a hit but he couldn't see where.  The next thing he saw was Chuck Knoblauch at secondbase, throwing to Greg Gagne, the shortstop.  How the hell did the ball get from left-center to the right side of second?  It didn't.  Knoblach made a last ditch effort to confuse Smith and it actually worked.  Smith realized there was no ball, too late, now he had to figure out where it was.  Jimmy Williams, the third base coach, was screaming, almost shrieking to get Smith to run.  Smith rounded second, and stopped, looked to the outfield, leaned towards third, leaned some more.  It took five seconds but he saw it.  There it was!  He took off for third and reached it easily, angry at himself.  No problem.  Second and third, no out.  The Braves were in business. 

Gant came up, again with the chance to be the hero.  He grounded to Hrbek at first.  1 out.  Runners hold.  David Justice was walked to load the bases.  It was a desperate move by a desperate team.  Only a strike out or a double play could really help the Twins.  Sid Bream bounced a ball down to Hrbek at first.  Smith was off from third base on contact.  He had good speed.  Hrbek fielded it and threw home to Harper.  2 outs, good enough but not good enough for Hrbek and Harper.  Knowing that Bream was a horrible runner (he had a brace on each knee), Hrbek threw the ball home and immediately got to the bag.  Harper had the same thought.  As soon as he heard the umpire call Smith out on the force at home he turned and fired the ball right back to Hrbek.  A 3-2-3 double play (that's firstbase to catcher to firstbase)!  It's almost unheard of to complete this play.  Hrbek took the trow, pumped his fist and screamed as he showed the ball to Morris, almost not believing it himself.  Another miracle play.

(Sid Bream was in his first year with the Braves after having left the Pirates.  Bream was an underrated, important part of Atlanta's drive to the pennant.  Casual fans saw him as a slow runner but few realized the pain he played with in both knees on a daily basis.)

Now it was the Twins' turn to threaten.  Randy Bush pinch hit for Gagne and led off the bottom of the 8th with a single.  He was replaced at first by Al Newman.  Gladden popped out leaving Newman at first but Knoblach, the 1991 AL rookie of the year, singled to right sending Newman to third.  Still only one out and Kirby Puckett, the Twins legend, at the plate.  That was all for Smoltz.  7 1/3 innings and no runs in a game 7 on the road.  You couldn't ask for more from a rookie.  With the crowd chanting "Kirby!, Kirby!, Kirby!" the Braves walked Puckett to face Hrbek with the bases loaded.  Here was the moment.  It had to happen here.  There was no way another miracle play could keep this thing scoreless.  And yet...

Hrbek connected on a 2-1 pitch and sent what looked like a sure hit towards second.  Lemke sprinted in and caught the ball in stride.  2 out.  Without hesitation he continued running and beat Knoblach back to second base.  Another miracle double play!  Game 7 of the greatest series of all time was moving to the 9th inning scoreless.

Morris was still pitching.  He was 36 years old, had thrown 246 innings in the regular season.  What was one more?  He got the Braves in order in the ninth.  The fans now knew that this was it.  The Twins would win.  Bottom of the ninth 0-0.  Chilli Davis led off with a single.  Harper tried to sacrifice him to second.  The ball found a little seam between the pitcher, firstbaseman and second baseman.  Mike Stanton, the Braves pitcher, chased the ball toward the hole between second and first, fielded it and as he turned and saw there was no play, he caught his spikes in the turf. He was carried off the field and replaced by Alejandro Pena.  All Pena did was get Shane Mack to ground into a double play.  2 outs but the runner moved to third.  A single would win it.  Pags was walked intentionally and Paul Sorrento had a chance to win it.  He didn't. 

(36 year old Jack Morris pitched all of Game 7 for the Twins.  No pitcher won more games during the 1980's than Morris.  1991 was his first year pitching for his home town team.)


Into the 10th inning. 0-0.  Each team had several chances, and other than Lonnie Smith getting stuck at second, there had been few mistakes.  These weren't blown chances.  These were miracles.  One after the other.  Morris came out and pitched the 10th and the Braves went down in order.  People wondered how long this could last.  At what point would someone blink?  When would someone make a mistake? When would someone be able to make it all the way around the bases?

Gladden started the bottom 10th with a broken bat, bloop hit into center.  Rounding first, Gladden saw Keith Mitchell ,the left fielder, jump to field the odd hop off the turf.  The ball hit off Mitchell's glove and got past Mitchell.  Gladden took off, full speed, for second.  What he couldn't see was Ron Gant directly behind Mitchell.  Gant fielded the ball immediately.  He was already in position to throw and he fired to second.  Lemke took the throw and smacked the tag on Gladden a second too late.  Gladden was safe and the Metrodome erupted.

Knoblach bunted Gladden to third and with one out Kirby Puckett walked to the plate.  Puckett was walked intentionally and Hrbek stepped to the plate.  Hrbek was walked intentionally.  Two straight intentional walks to load the bases with one out?  Why the hell not?  There were no rules right now.  Miracles were everywhere.  Because they had pinch run for Chilli Davis back in the 9th, Gene Larkin limped to the plate as the DH.  Larkin could barely walk.  His knee had been injured and was visibly swollen.  If there was a miracle double play left Larkin's lack of mobility would sure help.  The Braves pulled their outfielders in for a possible play at the plate.

Larkin swung at the first pitch and lifted a fly ball to left field.  Keith Mitchell ran after it but it was hopeless.  On contact Jack Buck screamed out "The Twins are going to win the World Series!  It's a 1-0, 10inning victory!"


i
(Dan Gladden celebrates as Gene Larkin's pinch hit fly ball falls safely.  Gladden came home to score the winning run in the bottom of the 10th inning.  Gladden is currently a radio announcer for the Twins and is one of the most entertaining radio announcers in the league.  He often tells stories about the 1991 Twins and his days spent in Minnesota.)
 
As Gladden and Larkin were mobbed at home plate by their teammates, Mitchell slowly walked after the ball in left field.  Alejandro Pena dropped his head and walked slowly off the mound.  On the bench, John Smoltz stared in disbelief.  Greg Olson, the Braves young catcher, leaned back on the Braves bench next to pitching coach Leo Mazzone.  Stunned.

The Twins had won the greatest World Series in history but it would be hard to call the 1991 Braves losers.